Value bet: Groningen to win @ 2.36 – our chance 48% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGroningen to win ✓48% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.80
ADO Den Haag vs Groningen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:15 WAT, Sunday 16 August: ADO Den Haag v Groningen in the Eredivisie, played at Bingoal Stadium. In the table, ADO Den Haag are 17th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 12 matches; Groningen are 9th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
ADO Den Haag, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to AZ Alkmaar, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Groningen, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Utrecht, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ADO Den Haag 1.2 xG, Groningen 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ADO Den Haag 31%, draw 21%, Groningen 48%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Groningen to win @2.36 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: ADO Den Haag 1–1 Groningen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ADO Den Haag31%fair 3.20 · @2.64
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.70
Groningen48%fair 2.08 · @2.36
2.76Expected goals
1.20ADO Den Haag xG
1.56Groningen xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: ADO Den Haag 1.2 – 1.6 Groningen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Groningen to win✓
48%
2.08
2.36 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.53
Draw no bet
Groningen (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
ADO Den Haag +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.18
First team to score
Groningen to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Groningen / FT Groningen✓
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.80
–
Recent results
ADO Den Haag – last 6
LDWWWW
8 Aug
@ AZ Alkmaar
0–2
L
31 Jul
vs Asteras Tripolis
0–0
D
24 Jul
@ Lommel United
4–0
W
18 Jul
@ KV Mechelen
3–2
W
4 Jul
@ Laakkwartier
5–1
W
24 Apr
@ Den Bosch
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Groningen – last 6
WWDLLW
9 Aug
vs Utrecht
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Valladolid
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Volos NFC
0–0
D
24 Jul
vs FC Volendam
0–4
L
18 Jul
vs AEK Athens FC
1–2
L
11 Jul
vs Emmen
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ADO Den Haag and Groningen.
What is the prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Groningen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Groningen?
On our numbers ADO Den Haag have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Groningen 48%.
How many goals will there be in ADO Den Haag vs Groningen?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ADO Den Haag vs Groningen?
Our predicted score is ADO Den Haag 1–1 Groningen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is ADO Den Haag vs Groningen?
ADO Den Haag vs Groningen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 11:15 (West Africa Time) at Bingoal Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
