Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.90 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTwente to win ✓74% · @1.23
Double chanceTwente or draw ✓89% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67
Twente vs PEC Zwolle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Twente v PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie, played at De Grolsch Veste. In the table, Twente are 4th, among the top four, on 24 points after 12 matches; PEC Zwolle are 13th (lower half) with 12. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Twente, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Dunajska Streda, away. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
PEC Zwolle, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ajax, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Twente, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for PEC Zwolle.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Twente 2.0 xG, PEC Zwolle 0.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Twente 74%, draw 15%, PEC Zwolle 11%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Under 3.5 goals @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Twente to win (74%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Twente 1–0 PEC Zwolle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Twente74%fair 1.36 · @1.23
Draw15%fair 6.51 · @5.90
PEC Zwolle11%fair 9.12 · @11.00
2.54Expected goals
2.00Twente xG
0.55PEC Zwolle xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–016%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Twente 2.0 – 0.5 PEC Zwolle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Twente to win✓
74%
1.36
1.23
Double chance
Twente or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.67
Draw no bet
Twente (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Twente -1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.90 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.38 ▲
First team to score
Twente to score first
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Twente ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Twente / FT Twente✗
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.67
–
Recent results
Twente – last 6
DLWLDW
13 Aug
@ Dunajska Streda
3–3
D
9 Aug
@ Heerenveen
0–1
L
6 Aug
vs Dunajska Streda
6–0
W
2 Aug
@ Genk
1–2
L
30 Jul
@ Ferencvarosi TC
2–2
D
24 Jul
@ Emmen
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle – last 6
LLLWLL
9 Aug
vs Ajax
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Hannover 96
0–3
L
26 Jul
vs AEK Athens FC
2–3
L
18 Jul
vs Cercle Brugge
3–2
W
11 Jul
vs Al-Jazira
0–1
L
17 May
vs Feyenoord
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Twente and PEC Zwolle.
Our pick is Twente to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Twente vs PEC Zwolle?
On our numbers Twente have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 15% and PEC Zwolle 11%.
How many goals will there be in Twente vs PEC Zwolle?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Twente vs PEC Zwolle?
Our predicted score is Twente 1–0 PEC Zwolle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Twente vs PEC Zwolle?
Twente vs PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at De Grolsch Veste.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
