Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultHeerenveen to win ✗63% · @1.62
Double chanceHeerenveen or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Heerenveen vs Telstar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the Eredivisie brings Heerenveen against Telstar at Abe Lenstra Stadion. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Heerenveen are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 12 matches; Telstar are 16th (in the drop zone) with 10.
Current form
Heerenveen, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to AZ Alkmaar, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Telstar, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Twente, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Heerenveen, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Telstar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Heerenveen 2.2 xG, Telstar 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Heerenveen 63%, draw 20%, Telstar 17%.
Lower-risk option: Heerenveen or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Heerenveen to win (63%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heerenveen 2–1 Telstar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Heerenveen63%fair 1.59 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @4.20
Telstar17%fair 5.83 · @4.40
3.20Expected goals
2.16Heerenveen xG
1.04Telstar xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Heerenveen 2.2 – 1.0 Telstar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heerenveen to win✗
63%
1.59
1.62
Double chance
Heerenveen or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.44
Draw no bet
Heerenveen (draw no bet)
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Heerenveen -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Heerenveen to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Heerenveen ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heerenveen / FT Heerenveen✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Heerenveen – last 6
LDLDWW
6 Sep
vs AZ Alkmaar
2–3
L
30 Aug
@ Willem II
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs PEC Zwolle
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ Ajax
2–2
D
9 Aug
vs Twente
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Volos NFC
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Telstar – last 6
LDLLWL
9 Sep
@ Twente
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Cambuur
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs Ajax
0–4
L
14 Aug
vs Sparta Rotterdam
1–3
L
8 Aug
@ NEC Nijmegen
2–1
W
31 Jul
@ VfL Wolfsburg
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heerenveen and Telstar.
Our pick is Heerenveen to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Heerenveen vs Telstar?
On our numbers Heerenveen have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Telstar 17%.
How many goals will there be in Heerenveen vs Telstar?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heerenveen vs Telstar?
Our predicted score is Heerenveen 2–1 Telstar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Heerenveen vs Telstar?
Heerenveen vs Telstar (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Abe Lenstra Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
