Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultPSV Eindhoven to win ✓75% · @1.18
Double chancePSV Eindhoven or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.27
PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sparta Rotterdam travel to face PSV Eindhoven on Sunday 13 September in the Eredivisie, with Philips Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, PSV Eindhoven are 1st, leading the league, on 26 points after 12 matches; Sparta Rotterdam are 12th (lower half) with 12. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
PSV Eindhoven, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Shakhtar Donetsk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game.
Sparta Rotterdam, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with PEC Zwolle, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours PSV Eindhoven, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Sparta Rotterdam.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PSV Eindhoven 3.0 xG, Sparta Rotterdam 1.2 xG – a total near 4.2. That is an open game on paper: 79% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PSV Eindhoven 75%, draw 14%, Sparta Rotterdam 11%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: PSV Eindhoven 3–1 Sparta Rotterdam. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PSV Eindhoven75%fair 1.34 · @1.18
Draw14%fair 7.04 · @7.00
Sparta Rotterdam11%fair 9.15 · @11.00
4.20Expected goals
3.04PSV Eindhoven xG
1.16Sparta Rotterdam xG
65%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–18%
2–18%
3–07%
2–07%
4–16%
4–05%
From our goals model: PSV Eindhoven 3.0 – 1.2 Sparta Rotterdam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSV Eindhoven to win✓
75%
1.34
1.18
Double chance
PSV Eindhoven or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.50
Draw no bet
PSV Eindhoven (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
PSV Eindhoven -1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
First team to score
PSV Eindhoven to score first
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
PSV Eindhoven ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PSV Eindhoven / FT PSV Eindhoven✓
53%
1.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.27
–
Recent results
PSV Eindhoven – last 6
DWWWWD
10 Sep
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Ajax
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ Utrecht
6–1
W
23 Aug
vs Groningen
5–1
W
15 Aug
@ Excelsior
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Fortuna Sittard
2–2
D
3.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sparta Rotterdam – last 6
DLDWLD
4 Sep
vs PEC Zwolle
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Excelsior
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Utrecht
3–3
D
14 Aug
@ Telstar
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Feyenoord
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs MSV Duisburg
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PSV Eindhoven and Sparta Rotterdam.
What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam?
On our numbers PSV Eindhoven have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Sparta Rotterdam 11%.
How many goals will there be in PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Our predicted score is PSV Eindhoven 3–1 Sparta Rotterdam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam?
PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Philips Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
