Excelsior vs Utrecht: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:15 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Excelsior v Utrecht in the Eredivisie, played at Stadion Woudestein. In the table, Excelsior are 15th, lower half, on 11 points after 12 matches; Utrecht are 14th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Excelsior, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with NEC Nijmegen, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Utrecht, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with GO Ahead Eagles, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Excelsior, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Utrecht.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Excelsior 5–0 Utrecht.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Excelsior 2.4 xG, Utrecht 2.0 xG – a total near 4.4. That is an open game on paper: 81% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Excelsior 46%, draw 21%, Utrecht 32%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Excelsior 2–2 Utrecht. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Excelsior46%fair 2.16 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.50
Utrecht32%fair 3.08 · @2.90
4.40Expected goals
2.39Excelsior xG
2.01Utrecht xG
68%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–27%
2–17%
1–26%
1–16%
3–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Excelsior 2.4 – 2.0 Utrecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Excelsior vs Utrecht?
On our numbers Excelsior have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Utrecht 32%.
How many goals will there be in Excelsior vs Utrecht?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Excelsior vs Utrecht?
Our predicted score is Excelsior 2–2 Utrecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Excelsior vs Utrecht?
Excelsior vs Utrecht (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 11:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Woudestein.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
