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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Heerenveen v NEC Nijmegen: numbers & prediction

Eredivisie · Netherlands · Abe Lenstra Stadion
1–0
FT
Heerenveen 47%Draw 20%NEC Nijmegen 33% Expected goals 1.82 – 1.48
69%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultHeerenveen to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.36
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.05

Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 31 October the Eredivisie brings Heerenveen against NEC Nijmegen at Abe Lenstra Stadion. Kick-off: 18:45 WAT. In the table, Heerenveen are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 12 matches; NEC Nijmegen are 11th (lower half) with 14.

Current form

Heerenveen, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Excelsior Maassluis, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

NEC Nijmegen, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Groningen, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Heerenveen, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for NEC Nijmegen.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Heerenveen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Heerenveen 1.8 xG, NEC Nijmegen 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 69%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Heerenveen 47%, draw 20%, NEC Nijmegen 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heerenveen 1–1 NEC Nijmegen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Heerenveen47%fair 2.11 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.80
NEC Nijmegen33%fair 3.04 · @3.00
3.30Expected goals
1.82Heerenveen xG
1.48NEC Nijmegen xG
69%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%

From our goals model: Heerenveen 1.8 – 1.5 NEC Nijmegen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHeerenveen to win ✓47%2.112.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗69%1.451.36
Draw no betHeerenveen (draw no bet) ✓59%1.69–
Asian handicapNEC Nijmegen +1 (Asian handicap)68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
First team to scoreHeerenveen to score first ✓53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓37%2.68–
Half-time / full-timeHT Heerenveen / FT Heerenveen ✗28%3.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.05–

Recent results

Heerenveen – last 6

WWWLWD
28 Oct@ Excelsior Maassluis2–0W
24 Oct@ ADO Den Haag3–2W
16 Octvs Excelsior4–0W
9 Oct@ PSV Eindhoven0–2L
19 Sep@ Sparta Rotterdam4–0W
13 Sepvs Telstar0–0D
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

NEC Nijmegen – last 6

DWDDDD
25 Octvs Groningen2–2D
22 Oct@ Dinamo Zagreb4–2W
18 Octvs Fortuna Sittard2–2D
15 Octvs Levski Sofia1–1D
10 Oct@ Ajax1–1D
20 Sepvs GO Ahead Eagles1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026NEC Nijmegen v Heerenveen2–2
Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen head-to-head page →

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV Eindhoven12822+2526
2Feyenoord12741+1925
3Ajax12741+1725
4Twente12732+1824
5AZ Alkmaar12723+823
6Heerenveen12633+821
7Fortuna Sittard12552020
8GO Ahead Eagles12453-317
9Groningen12435+115
10Cambuur12435-215
11NEC Nijmegen12354-114
12Sparta Rotterdam12336-812
13PEC Zwolle12336-1112
14Utrecht12336-1312
15Excelsior12327-1311
16Telstar12246-710
17ADO Den Haag12237-99
18Willem II12039-293

More Eredivisie predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?

On our numbers Heerenveen have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 20% and NEC Nijmegen 33%.

How many goals will there be in Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our predicted score is Heerenveen 1–1 NEC Nijmegen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?

Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Abe Lenstra Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.