PSV Eindhoven 77%Draw 14%Willem II 9%Expected goals 3.09 – 1.06
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultPSV Eindhoven to win ✓77% · @1.07
Double chancePSV Eindhoven or draw ✓91% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.17
PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:45 WAT, Saturday 31 October: PSV Eindhoven v Willem II in the Eredivisie, played at Philips Stadion. In the table, PSV Eindhoven are 1st, leading the league, on 26 points after 12 matches; Willem II are 18th (in the drop zone) with 3. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
PSV Eindhoven, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Feyenoord, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Willem II, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Helmond Sport, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 3.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours PSV Eindhoven, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Willem II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PSV Eindhoven 3.1 xG, Willem II 1.1 xG – a total near 4.2. That is an open game on paper: 78% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PSV Eindhoven 77%, draw 14%, Willem II 9%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: PSV Eindhoven 3–1 Willem II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PSV Eindhoven77%fair 1.30 · @1.07
Draw14%fair 7.00 · @13.00
Willem II9%fair 11.11 · @23.00
4.15Expected goals
3.09PSV Eindhoven xG
1.06Willem II xG
63%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–18%
2–18%
3–08%
2–08%
4–16%
4–06%
From our goals model: PSV Eindhoven 3.1 – 1.1 Willem II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSV Eindhoven to win✓
77%
1.30
1.07
Double chance
PSV Eindhoven or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.65
Draw no bet
PSV Eindhoven (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
PSV Eindhoven -1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
First team to score
PSV Eindhoven to score first✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
PSV Eindhoven ahead at half-time✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PSV Eindhoven / FT PSV Eindhoven✓
55%
1.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.17
–
Recent results
PSV Eindhoven – last 6
DWLLWL
25 Oct
vs Feyenoord
1–1
D
20 Oct
@ FC Porto
1–0
W
17 Oct
@ ADO Den Haag
1–2
L
13 Oct
@ RB Leipzig
0–1
L
9 Oct
vs Heerenveen
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Twente
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Willem II – last 6
WLLLLL
27 Oct
@ Helmond Sport
4–3
W
24 Oct
vs Cambuur
1–6
L
17 Oct
@ Sparta Rotterdam
2–3
L
11 Oct
@ Utrecht
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Fortuna Sittard
0–1
L
15 Sep
@ Ajax
1–5
L
1.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PSV Eindhoven and Willem II.
What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
On our numbers PSV Eindhoven have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Willem II 9%.
How many goals will there be in PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
Our predicted score is PSV Eindhoven 3–1 Willem II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Philips Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
