Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultAuxerre to win ✓41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.77
Auxerre vs Nice: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nice travel to face Auxerre on Saturday 12 September in the Ligue 1 – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Auxerre are 14th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Nice are 6th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Auxerre, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Lyon, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Nice, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Le Mans, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Auxerre 1.7 xG, Nice 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Auxerre 41%, draw 23%, Nice 37%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Auxerre 1–1 Nice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Auxerre41%fair 2.46 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20
Nice37%fair 2.73 · @2.62
3.33Expected goals
1.71Auxerre xG
1.62Nice xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Auxerre 1.7 – 1.6 Nice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Auxerre to win✓
41%
2.46
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Auxerre (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Nice +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
Auxerre to score first✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Auxerre / FT Auxerre✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.77
–
Recent results
Auxerre – last 6
LLLWDD
4 Sep
@ Lyon
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Angers
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Lens
2–5
L
15 Aug
@ Werder Bremen
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Estac Troyes
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Sochaux
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nice – last 6
DLDDDL
5 Sep
vs Le Mans
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Paris FC
0–3
L
22 Aug
vs Lorient
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Hull City
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Cagliari
0–0
D
31 Jul
@ Juventus
0–2
L
0.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Auxerre and Nice.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Auxerre vs Nice?
On our numbers Auxerre have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nice 37%.
How many goals will there be in Auxerre vs Nice?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Nice?
Our predicted score is Auxerre 1–1 Nice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Auxerre vs Nice?
Auxerre vs Nice (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
