Paris FC 39%Draw 21%Lyon 40%Expected goals 1.33 – 1.34
60%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultLyon to win ✗40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.08
Paris FC vs Lyon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paris FC welcome Lyon to Stade Jean Bouin for a Ligue 1 fixture on Saturday 12 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Paris FC are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 10 matches; Lyon are 5th (upper half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Paris FC, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Marseille, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Lyon, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Auxerre, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lyon, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Paris FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paris FC 1.3 xG, Lyon 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paris FC 39%, draw 21%, Lyon 40%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paris FC 1–1 Lyon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paris FC39%fair 2.56 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.40
Lyon40%fair 2.53 · @2.50
2.67Expected goals
1.33Paris FC xG
1.34Lyon xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Paris FC 1.3 – 1.3 Lyon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyon to win✗
40%
2.53
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.60
Draw no bet
Lyon (draw no bet)
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Paris FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Lyon to score first✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyon / FT Lyon✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.08
–
Recent results
Paris FC – last 6
WWDLLD
6 Sep
@ Marseille
3–2
W
30 Aug
vs Nice
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Estac Troyes
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Angers
2–3
L
8 Aug
@ FSV Mainz 05
0–4
L
1 Aug
@ VfB Stuttgart
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lyon – last 6
WDLWDW
4 Sep
vs Auxerre
3–1
W
29 Aug
vs Le Havre
1–1
D
26 Aug
vs Fenerbahçe
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Toulouse
2–0
W
18 Aug
@ Fenerbahçe
1–1
D
11 Aug
vs Sparta Praha
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paris FC and Lyon.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Paris FC vs Lyon?
On our numbers Paris FC have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lyon 40%.
How many goals will there be in Paris FC vs Lyon?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paris FC vs Lyon?
Our predicted score is Paris FC 1–1 Lyon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Paris FC vs Lyon?
Paris FC vs Lyon (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Jean Bouin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
