Auxerre 49%Draw 22%Le Mans 30%Expected goals 2.14 – 1.65
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultAuxerre to win ✗49% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.73
Auxerre vs Le Mans: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:15 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Auxerre v Le Mans in the Ligue 1, played at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps. In the table, Auxerre are 14th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Le Mans are 15th (lower half) with 8. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Auxerre, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Le Havre, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Le Mans, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Toulouse, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Auxerre, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Le Mans.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Auxerre 2.1 xG, Le Mans 1.7 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Auxerre 49%, draw 22%, Le Mans 30%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Auxerre 2–1 Le Mans. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Auxerre49%fair 2.05 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.40
Le Mans30%fair 3.36 · @3.40
3.79Expected goals
2.14Auxerre xG
1.65Le Mans xG
64%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
2–05%
From our goals model: Auxerre 2.1 – 1.7 Le Mans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Auxerre to win✗
49%
2.05
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.60
Draw no bet
Auxerre (draw no bet)
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Le Mans +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
First team to score
Auxerre to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Auxerre ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Auxerre / FT Auxerre✗
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.73
–
Recent results
Auxerre – last 6
WLWWWL
18 Oct
@ Le Havre
3–1
W
11 Oct
@ Rennes
1–4
L
2 Oct
vs Clermont Foot
4–3
W
20 Sep
vs Stade Brestois 29
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Nice
1–0
W
4 Sep
@ Lyon
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Le Mans – last 6
LLWDDL
16 Oct
vs Toulouse
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Paris Saint Germain
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Lorient
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Lens
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Nice
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Rennes
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Auxerre and Le Mans.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Auxerre vs Le Mans?
On our numbers Auxerre have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Le Mans 30%.
How many goals will there be in Auxerre vs Le Mans?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Le Mans?
Our predicted score is Auxerre 2–1 Le Mans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Auxerre vs Le Mans?
Auxerre vs Le Mans (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
