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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Le Havre v Lorient: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · France · Stade Océane
0–2
FT

Lorient

LDWWL
Le Havre 35%Draw 23%Lorient 43% Expected goals 1.15 – 1.31
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLorient to win ✓43% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.84

Le Havre vs Lorient: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Le Havre welcome Lorient to Stade Océane for a Ligue 1 fixture on Sunday 8 November (17:15 WAT). In the table, Le Havre are 18th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 10 matches; Lorient are 10th (lower half) with 15. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Le Havre, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Paris Saint Germain, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Lorient, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Stade Brestois 29, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Lorient, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Le Havre.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Lorient 0–2 Le Havre.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Le Havre 1.1 xG, Lorient 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Le Havre 35%, draw 23%, Lorient 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Le Havre 1–1 Lorient. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Le Havre35%fair 2.89 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.30
Lorient43%fair 2.35 · @2.40
2.46Expected goals
1.15Le Havre xG
1.31Lorient xG
59%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Le Havre 1.1 – 1.3 Lorient expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLorient to win ✓43%2.352.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.80 ▲
Draw no betLorient (draw no bet) ✓55%1.81–
Asian handicapLe Havre +1 (Asian handicap) ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.10
First team to scoreLorient to score first ✓49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lorient / FT Lorient ✓23%4.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.84–

Recent results

Le Havre – last 6

LLLLLD
30 Octvs Paris Saint Germain1–5L
25 Oct@ Marseille3–4L
18 Octvs Auxerre1–3L
10 Oct@ Lille0–1L
19 Sep@ Toulouse2–3L
12 Sepvs Angers0–0D
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Lorient – last 6

LDWWLD
31 Octvs Stade Brestois 290–2L
25 Oct@ Angers0–0D
18 Octvs Monaco1–0W
10 Octvs Paris FC1–0W
19 Sep@ Le Mans1–2L
12 Sepvs Toulouse2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Lorient v Le Havre0–2
Le Havre vs Lorient head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain10721+1223
2Lille10631+721
3Paris FC10622+720
4Marseille10604+818
5Lyon10523+617
6Nice10523+317
7Monaco10442+216
8Rennes10514016
9Stade Brestois 2910433+615
10Lorient10433+115
11Lens10415+213
12Toulouse10343+113
13Strasbourg10316-410
14Auxerre10316-1110
15Le Mans10154-78
16Angers10226-108
17Estac Troyes10226-108
18Le Havre10028-132

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Le Havre vs Lorient?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Le Havre vs Lorient?

On our numbers Le Havre have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lorient 43%.

How many goals will there be in Le Havre vs Lorient?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Le Havre vs Lorient?

Our predicted score is Le Havre 1–1 Lorient, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Le Havre vs Lorient?

Le Havre vs Lorient (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Océane.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.