Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Lille to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRennes to win ✗39% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.84
Rennes vs Lille: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Ligue 1 brings Rennes against Lille at Roazhon Park. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Rennes are 8th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Lille are 2nd (among the top four) with 21.
Current form
Rennes, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Nice, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Lille, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with BodoGlimt, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Rennes, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Lille.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Rennes 1–2 Lille.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rennes 1.5 xG, Lille 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rennes 39%, draw 22%, Lille 38%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Lille to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rennes 1–1 Lille. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rennes39%fair 2.55 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.40
Lille38%fair 2.60 · @2.88
3.02Expected goals
1.52Rennes xG
1.50Lille xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Rennes 1.5 – 1.5 Lille expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Rennes vs Lille?
On our numbers Rennes have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lille 38%.
How many goals will there be in Rennes vs Lille?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rennes vs Lille?
Our predicted score is Rennes 1–1 Lille, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Rennes vs Lille?
Rennes vs Lille (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Roazhon Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
