Le Mans vs Monaco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Ligue 1 brings Le Mans against Monaco at Stade Marie-Marvingt. Kick-off: 17:15 WAT. In the table, Le Mans are 15th, lower half, on 8 points after 10 matches; Monaco are 7th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Le Mans, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Estac Troyes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Monaco, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FC Nordsjaelland, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Monaco, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Le Mans.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Le Mans 0.9 xG, Monaco 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Le Mans 16%, draw 21%, Monaco 63%.
Lower-risk option: Monaco or draw (84%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Le Mans 0–2 Monaco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Le Mans16%fair 6.10 · @5.25
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.80
Monaco63%fair 1.59 · @1.67
2.81Expected goals
0.86Le Mans xG
1.94Monaco xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Le Mans 0.9 – 1.9 Monaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monaco to win✗
63%
1.59
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Monaco or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.80
Draw no bet
Monaco (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Monaco -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
First team to score
Monaco to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Monaco ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monaco / FT Monaco✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Le Mans – last 6
LDLLWD
31 Oct
@ Estac Troyes
0–2
L
25 Oct
@ Auxerre
1–1
D
16 Oct
vs Toulouse
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Paris Saint Germain
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Lorient
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Lens
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Monaco – last 6
WLDWLW
5 Nov
vs FC Nordsjaelland
2–0
W
1 Nov
@ Paris FC
1–3
L
25 Oct
vs Lille
1–1
D
22 Oct
vs SC Freiburg
3–0
W
18 Oct
@ Lorient
0–1
L
15 Oct
@ CSKA Sofia
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Le Mans and Monaco.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Le Mans vs Monaco?
On our numbers Le Mans have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Monaco 63%.
How many goals will there be in Le Mans vs Monaco?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Le Mans vs Monaco?
Our predicted score is Le Mans 0–2 Monaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Le Mans vs Monaco?
Le Mans vs Monaco (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marie-Marvingt.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
