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Jagiellonia v Legia Warszawa: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku
1–3
FT
Jagiellonia 35%Draw 23%Legia Warszawa 42% Expected goals 1.39 – 1.54
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultLegia Warszawa to win ✓42% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.33

Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 20 September the Ekstraklasa brings Jagiellonia against Legia Warszawa at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Jagiellonia are 9th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; Legia Warszawa are 3rd (among the top four) with 24. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Jagiellonia, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Olympiakos Piraeus, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Legia Warszawa, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Widzew Łódź, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Jagiellonia 2–2 Legia Warszawa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jagiellonia 1.4 xG, Legia Warszawa 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jagiellonia 35%, draw 23%, Legia Warszawa 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jagiellonia 1–1 Legia Warszawa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jagiellonia35%fair 2.85 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20
Legia Warszawa42%fair 2.37 · @2.45
2.93Expected goals
1.39Jagiellonia xG
1.54Legia Warszawa xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: Jagiellonia 1.4 – 1.5 Legia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLegia Warszawa to win ✓42%2.372.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.60
Draw no betLegia Warszawa (draw no bet) ✓55%1.83–
Asian handicapJagiellonia +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreLegia Warszawa to score first50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa ✓24%4.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.33–

Recent results

Jagiellonia – last 6

LLWLWW
16 Sep@ Olympiakos Piraeus1–2L
11 Sep@ Wisla Krakow0–2L
6 Sepvs Slask Wroclaw2–1W
3 Sep@ Lech Poznan1–2L
30 Aug@ Raków Częstochowa5–2W
27 Aug@ FC Iberia 19992–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Legia Warszawa – last 6

DWLDDW
13 Sepvs Widzew Łódź1–1D
5 Sep@ Motor Lublin3–2W
1 Sep@ Motor Lublin0–3L
28 Augvs Slask Wroclaw1–1D
22 Aug@ Piast Gliwice1–1D
14 Augvs Radomiak Radom5–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Jagiellonia v Legia Warszawa2–2
Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

More Ekstraklasa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa?

On our numbers Jagiellonia have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Legia Warszawa 42%.

How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa?

Our predicted score is Jagiellonia 1–1 Legia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa?

Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.