Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the Ekstraklasa brings Lech Poznan against Radomiak Radom at Stadion Miejski. Kick-off: 19:15 WAT. In the table, Lech Poznan are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 13 matches; Radomiak Radom are 14th (lower half) with 14. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lech Poznan, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Crystal Palace, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Radomiak Radom, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Piast Gliwice, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lech Poznan 2.0 xG, Radomiak Radom 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lech Poznan 72%, draw 18%, Radomiak Radom 10%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lech Poznan to win (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lech Poznan 2–0 Radomiak Radom. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lech Poznan72%fair 1.39 · @1.30
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @5.00
Radomiak Radom10%fair 9.91 · @8.00
2.60Expected goals
2.02Lech Poznan xG
0.58Radomiak Radom xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–015%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lech Poznan 2.0 – 0.6 Radomiak Radom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lech Poznan to win✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Double chance
Lech Poznan or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.62
Draw no bet
Lech Poznan (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Lech Poznan -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Lech Poznan to score first
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Lech Poznan ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lech Poznan / FT Lech Poznan✓
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.36
–
Recent results
Lech Poznan – last 6
LLWWWD
17 Sep
@ Crystal Palace
0–4
L
12 Sep
@ Gornik Zabrze
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Raków Częstochowa
1–0
W
3 Sep
vs Jagiellonia
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Widzew Łódź
3–2
W
27 Aug
@ FC Thun
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Radomiak Radom – last 6
LDWWDL
14 Sep
vs Piast Gliwice
0–2
L
5 Sep
@ Widzew Łódź
0–0
D
1 Sep
@ Korona Kielce II
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Cracovia Krakow
2–1
W
23 Aug
vs Zaglebie Lubin
0–0
D
14 Aug
@ Legia Warszawa
0–5
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lech Poznan and Radomiak Radom.
What is the prediction for Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom?
Our pick is Lech Poznan to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom?
On our numbers Lech Poznan have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Radomiak Radom 10%.
How many goals will there be in Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom?
Our predicted score is Lech Poznan 2–0 Radomiak Radom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom?
Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
