Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Pogon Szczecin to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPiast Gliwice to win ✗39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.86
Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Piast Gliwice welcome Pogon Szczecin to Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Sunday 20 September (11:15 WAT). In the table, Piast Gliwice are 7th, upper half, on 22 points after 14 matches; Pogon Szczecin are 4th (among the top four) with 24. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Piast Gliwice, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Radomiak Radom, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Pogon Szczecin, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Wieczysta Kraków, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Piast Gliwice, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Pogon Szczecin.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Apr 2026) it ended Piast Gliwice 0–2 Pogon Szczecin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Piast Gliwice 1.4 xG, Pogon Szczecin 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Piast Gliwice 39%, draw 22%, Pogon Szczecin 38%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Pogon Szczecin to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Piast Gliwice 1–1 Pogon Szczecin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Piast Gliwice39%fair 2.55 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.30
Pogon Szczecin38%fair 2.60 · @2.90
2.87Expected goals
1.44Piast Gliwice xG
1.43Pogon Szczecin xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Piast Gliwice 1.4 – 1.4 Pogon Szczecin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
On our numbers Piast Gliwice have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pogon Szczecin 38%.
How many goals will there be in Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our predicted score is Piast Gliwice 1–1 Pogon Szczecin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?
Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 11:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
