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Jagiellonia v GKS Katowice: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Chorten Arena
1–0
FT
Jagiellonia 44%Draw 20%GKS Katowice 36% Expected goals 1.69 – 1.50
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.43 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.43Odds
2

Value bet: GKS Katowice to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultJagiellonia to win ✓44% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.43
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35

Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:45 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Jagiellonia v GKS Katowice in the Ekstraklasa, played at Chorten Arena. In the table, Jagiellonia are 9th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; GKS Katowice are 8th (upper half) with 21. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Jagiellonia, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Levski Sofia, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

GKS Katowice, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Widzew Łódź, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended GKS Katowice 2–2 Jagiellonia. The last 2 head-to-heads: Jagiellonia 1 win, GKS Katowice 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jagiellonia 1.7 xG, GKS Katowice 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jagiellonia 44%, draw 20%, GKS Katowice 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.43.
  • Price worth noting: GKS Katowice to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jagiellonia 1–1 GKS Katowice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jagiellonia44%fair 2.27 · @1.97
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.75
GKS Katowice36%fair 2.77 · @3.20
3.20Expected goals
1.69Jagiellonia xG
1.50GKS Katowice xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: Jagiellonia 1.7 – 1.5 GKS Katowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJagiellonia to win ✓44%2.271.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.591.43
Draw no betJagiellonia (draw no bet) ✓55%1.82–
Asian handicapGKS Katowice +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.221.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.601.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.701.63
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.311.22
First team to scoreJagiellonia to score first ✓51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.62–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jagiellonia / FT Jagiellonia ✗25%3.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.35–

Recent results

Jagiellonia – last 6

LWWWLL
5 Nov@ Levski Sofia0–1L
31 Oct@ Wieczysta Kraków3–1W
28 Oct@ Lechia Gdansk6–0W
25 Octvs Wisla Plock1–0W
22 Octvs Anderlecht0–3L
18 Oct@ Zaglebie Lubin0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

GKS Katowice – last 6

WLLLWW
31 Octvs Widzew Łódź3–2W
27 Oct@ Górnik Łęczna0–1L
24 Oct@ Korona Kielce0–1L
17 Octvs Pogon Szczecin0–1L
12 Octvs Wieczysta Kraków2–1W
9 Oct@ Raków Częstochowa4–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026GKS Katowice v Jagiellonia2–2
17 Mar 2026Jagiellonia v GKS Katowice2–1
Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

More Ekstraklasa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.

Who will win Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice?

On our numbers Jagiellonia have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and GKS Katowice 36%.

How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice?

Our predicted score is Jagiellonia 1–1 GKS Katowice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice?

Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Chorten Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.