Legia Warszawa 60%Draw 25%Raków Częstochowa 15%Expected goals 2.07 – 0.99
85%
Betarazi pick
Legia Warszawa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.23 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.23Odds
1
Value bet: Legia Warszawa to win @ 1.84 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLegia Warszawa to win ✗60% · @1.84
Double chanceLegia Warszawa or draw ✗85% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Raków Częstochowa travel to face Legia Warszawa on Sunday 8 November in the Ekstraklasa, with Stadion Wojska Polskiego the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Legia Warszawa are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 14 matches; Raków Częstochowa are 16th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Legia Warszawa, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gornik Zabrze, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Raków Częstochowa, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Pogon Szczecin, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Legia Warszawa 2.1 xG, Raków Częstochowa 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Legia Warszawa 60%, draw 25%, Raków Częstochowa 15%.
Lower-risk option: Legia Warszawa or draw (85%) at 1.23.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Legia Warszawa to win @1.84 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Legia Warszawa or draw (85%, odds 1.23 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Legia Warszawa 2–0 Raków Częstochowa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Legia Warszawa60%fair 1.67 · @1.84
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.66
Raków Częstochowa15%fair 6.67 · @3.72
3.06Expected goals
2.07Legia Warszawa xG
0.99Raków Częstochowa xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Legia Warszawa 2.1 – 1.0 Raków Częstochowa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Legia Warszawa to win✗
60%
1.67
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Legia Warszawa or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.57
Draw no bet
Legia Warszawa (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Legia Warszawa -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.16
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.43
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.15
First team to score
Legia Warszawa to score first✗
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Legia Warszawa ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Legia Warszawa – last 6
DLDWWD
30 Oct
@ Gornik Zabrze
0–0
D
25 Oct
vs Lech Poznan
1–2
L
17 Oct
@ Cracovia Krakow
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Wisla Krakow
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Jagiellonia
3–1
W
13 Sep
vs Widzew Łódź
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Raków Częstochowa – last 6
WDLWLW
2 Nov
vs Pogon Szczecin
3–1
W
27 Oct
@ Motor Lublin
1–1
D
24 Oct
@ Wisla Krakow
1–2
L
16 Oct
@ Wieczysta Kraków
2–1
W
9 Oct
vs GKS Katowice
1–4
L
2 Oct
vs Polonia Bytom
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Legia Warszawa and Raków Częstochowa.
What is the prediction for Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our pick is Legia Warszawa or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?
On our numbers Legia Warszawa have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Raków Częstochowa 15%.
How many goals will there be in Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our predicted score is Legia Warszawa 2–0 Raków Częstochowa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?
Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Wojska Polskiego.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
