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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lech Poznan v Zaglebie Lubin: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Stadion Poznan
2–2
FT
Lech Poznan 63%Draw 18%Zaglebie Lubin 19% Expected goals 2.07 – 1.00
61%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.58 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.58Odds

Picks by market

ResultLech Poznan to win ✗63% · @1.47
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.61
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lech Poznan welcome Zaglebie Lubin to Stadion Poznan for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Sunday 8 November (20:15 WAT). In the table, Lech Poznan are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 13 matches; Zaglebie Lubin are 6th (upper half) with 23.

Current form

Lech Poznan, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Benfica, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Zaglebie Lubin, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Korona Kielce, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Zaglebie Lubin 0–1 Lech Poznan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lech Poznan 2.1 xG, Zaglebie Lubin 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lech Poznan 63%, draw 18%, Zaglebie Lubin 19%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.61.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.58). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lech Poznan 2–1 Zaglebie Lubin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lech Poznan63%fair 1.58 · @1.47
Draw18%fair 5.70 · @4.45
Zaglebie Lubin19%fair 5.24 · @5.50
3.07Expected goals
2.07Lech Poznan xG
1.00Zaglebie Lubin xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Lech Poznan 2.1 – 1.0 Zaglebie Lubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLech Poznan to win ✗63%1.581.47
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82%1.211.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.61
Draw no betLech Poznan (draw no bet)77%1.30–
Asian handicapLech Poznan -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.241.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.47
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.641.58
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.281.20
First team to scoreLech Poznan to score first ✗64%1.56–
Half-time resultLech Poznan ahead at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lech Poznan / FT Lech Poznan ✗40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Lech Poznan – last 6

LWLWDW
5 Nov@ Benfica1–3L
31 Octvs Wisla Krakow3–1W
28 Oct@ Siarka Tarnobrzeg0–1L
25 Oct@ Legia Warszawa2–1W
22 Octvs Sunderland1–1D
18 Octvs Korona Kielce6–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Zaglebie Lubin – last 6

WDWLWL
2 Novvs Korona Kielce1–0W
23 Oct@ Motor Lublin2–2D
18 Octvs Jagiellonia1–0W
10 Oct@ Cracovia Krakow1–3L
3 Octvs Miedz Legnica1–0W
20 Sepvs Wisla Plock0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Zaglebie Lubin v Lech Poznan0–1
Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

More Ekstraklasa predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.58.

Who will win Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin?

On our numbers Lech Poznan have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Zaglebie Lubin 19%.

How many goals will there be in Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Our predicted score is Lech Poznan 2–1 Zaglebie Lubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poznan.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.