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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Pamplona v Real Murcia II: numbers & prediction

Tercera División RFEF Promotion Play Offs · Spain

Pamplona

LWDWW
1–1
FT

Real Murcia II

WWDWW
Pamplona 39%Draw 27%Real Murcia II 33% Expected goals 1.46 – 1.36
54%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.83Odds
2

Value bet: Real Murcia II to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPamplona to win ✗39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.54

Pamplona vs Real Murcia II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real Murcia II travel to face Pamplona on Saturday 20 June in the Tercera División RFEF Promotion Play Offs – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Pamplona, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Real Murcia II, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Real Murcia II, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Pamplona, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Real Murcia II, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Pamplona.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Jun 2026) it ended Real Murcia II 2–1 Pamplona.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pamplona 1.5 xG, Real Murcia II 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Pamplona 39%, draw 27%, Real Murcia II 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Real Murcia II to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pamplona 1–1 Real Murcia II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pamplona39%fair 2.54 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.90
Real Murcia II33%fair 3.01 · @3.40
2.82Expected goals
1.46Pamplona xG
1.36Real Murcia II xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%

From our goals model: Pamplona 1.5 – 1.4 Real Murcia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPamplona to win ✗39%2.542.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.381.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.83
Draw no betPamplona (draw no bet)54%1.84–
Asian handicapReal Murcia II +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.87–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.18–
First team to scorePamplona to score first49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pamplona / FT Pamplona ✗23%4.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.54–

Recent results

Pamplona – last 6

LWDWWD
14 Jun@ Real Murcia II1–2L
6 Junvs Izarra5–1W
30 May@ Izarra1–1D
19 Apr@ Izarra2–0W
2 Apr@ Txantrea3–1W
27 Marvs Aoiz2–2D
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Real Murcia II – last 6

WWDWWD
14 Junvs Pamplona2–1W
7 Junvs Olímpico Totana2–1W
31 May@ Olímpico Totana1–1D
24 Mayvs Mazarrón FC2–0W
2 May@ Santa Cruz2–1W
19 Apr@ UD Caravaca1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Jun 2026Real Murcia II v Pamplona2–1
Pamplona vs Real Murcia II head-to-head page →

More Tercera División RFEF Promotion Play Offs predictions

FT Arnedo1 Tropezón0 130%2.30X28%2.80242%3.00 0.8–1.1xG NGNot both teams to score 52%@1.75 ✓
FT La Nucía1 Trival Valderas0 143%2.05X29%2.80229%3.75 1.3–1.0xG 1XLa Nucía or draw 71%@1.25 ✓
FT Caudal1 Atlético Central1 139%2.15X39%2.88223%3.40 1.2–0.9xG 1XCaudal or draw 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Cuarte1 Badajoz1 133%2.88X29%2.80238%2.45 1.2–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.00 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pamplona vs Real Murcia II?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Pamplona vs Real Murcia II?

On our numbers Pamplona have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Real Murcia II 33%.

How many goals will there be in Pamplona vs Real Murcia II?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pamplona vs Real Murcia II?

Our predicted score is Pamplona 1–1 Real Murcia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Pamplona vs Real Murcia II?

Pamplona vs Real Murcia II (Tercera División RFEF Promotion Play Offs) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.