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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Caudal v Atlético Central: numbers & prediction

Tercera División RFEF Promotion Play Offs · Spain

Caudal

LWWDD
1–1
FT

Atlético Central

WWLLW
Caudal 39%Draw 39%Atlético Central 23% Expected goals 1.24 – 0.88
77%
Betarazi pick

Caudal or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 2.88 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✓39% · @2.88
Double chanceCaudal or draw ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✓13% · fair 7.63

Caudal vs Atlético Central: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Caudal welcome Atlético Central for a Tercera División RFEF Promotion Play Offs fixture on Saturday 20 June (19:00 WAT).

Current form

Caudal, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Atlético Central, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Atlético Central, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Caudal, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Jun 2026) it ended Atlético Central 2–0 Caudal.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Caudal 1.2 xG, Atlético Central 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Caudal 39%, draw 39%, Atlético Central 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Caudal or draw (77%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Caudal or draw (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caudal 1–0 Atlético Central. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Caudal39%fair 2.59 · @2.15
Draw39%fair 2.58 · @2.88
Atlético Central23%fair 4.42 · @3.40
2.12Expected goals
1.24Caudal xG
0.88Atlético Central xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Caudal 1.2 – 0.9 Atlético Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✓39%2.582.88 ▲
Double chanceCaudal or draw ✓77%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.91
Draw no betCaudal (draw no bet)63%1.59–
Asian handicapAtlético Central +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreCaudal to score first ✓51%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Caudal / FT Caudal ✗26%3.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✓13%7.63–

Recent results

Caudal – last 6

LWWDDW
14 Jun@ Atlético Central0–2L
7 Jun@ Covadonga4–2W
31 Mayvs Covadonga2–1W
24 May@ Sporting Gijón II0–0D
17 Mayvs Sporting Gijón II0–0D
26 Apr@ Navarro2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Atlético Central – last 6

WWLLWW
14 Junvs Caudal2–0W
7 Jun@ Dos Hermanas2–1W
31 Mayvs Dos Hermanas1–2L
17 May@ Bollullos0–1L
3 Mayvs Linense2–1W
19 Aprvs Pozoblanco2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Jun 2026Atlético Central v Caudal2–0
Caudal vs Atlético Central head-to-head page →

More Tercera División RFEF Promotion Play Offs predictions

FT Pamplona1 Real Murcia II1 139%2.10X27%2.90233%3.40 1.5–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@1.83 ✓
FT Arnedo1 Tropezón0 130%2.30X28%2.80242%3.00 0.8–1.1xG NGNot both teams to score 52%@1.75 ✓
FT La Nucía1 Trival Valderas0 143%2.05X29%2.80229%3.75 1.3–1.0xG 1XLa Nucía or draw 71%@1.25 ✓
FT Cuarte1 Badajoz1 133%2.88X29%2.80238%2.45 1.2–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.00 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Caudal vs Atlético Central?

Our pick is Caudal or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Caudal vs Atlético Central?

On our numbers Caudal have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 39% and Atlético Central 23%.

How many goals will there be in Caudal vs Atlético Central?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Caudal vs Atlético Central?

Our predicted score is Caudal 1–0 Atlético Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Caudal vs Atlético Central?

Caudal vs Atlético Central (Tercera División RFEF Promotion Play Offs) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.