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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sao Jose v Santa Catarina: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Francisco Novelletto Neto

Sao Jose

WWDDL
1–1
FT

Santa Catarina

WWLLW
Sao Jose 40%Draw 29%Santa Catarina 31% Expected goals 1.21 – 0.91
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultSao Jose to win ✗40% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.87

Sao Jose vs Santa Catarina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Sunday 21 June: Sao Jose v Santa Catarina in the Serie D, played at Francisco Novelletto Neto.

Current form

Sao Jose, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Blumenau, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Santa Catarina, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cascavel, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sao Jose 1.2 xG, Santa Catarina 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sao Jose 40%, draw 29%, Santa Catarina 31%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sao Jose 1–0 Santa Catarina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sao Jose40%fair 2.48 · @2.62
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @2.70
Santa Catarina31%fair 3.26 · @2.75
2.12Expected goals
1.21Sao Jose xG
0.91Santa Catarina xG
49%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Sao Jose 1.2 – 0.9 Santa Catarina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSao Jose to win ✗40%2.482.62 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71%1.411.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.971.57
Draw no betSao Jose (draw no bet)57%1.76–
Asian handicapSanta Catarina +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.651.57
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.531.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.201.12
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.03
First team to scoreSao Jose to score first ✗50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sao Jose / FT Sao Jose ✗25%4.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.87–

Recent results

Sao Jose – last 6

WWDDLL
7 Jun@ Blumenau1–0W
31 Mayvs Independiente FSJ1–0W
24 Mayvs Marcílio Dias1–1D
17 May@ Brasil DE Pelotas0–0D
23 Febvs Novo Hamburgo1–2L
15 Feb@ Novo Hamburgo2–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Santa Catarina – last 5

WWLLW
7 Junvs Cascavel1–0W
31 May@ Cianorte3–1W
5 Apr@ Cascavel0–1L
12 Marvs Jacuipense0–1L
19 Febvs IAPE2–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sao Jose and Santa Catarina.

Sao Jose vs Santa Catarina head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Parnahyba2 Águia de Marabá1 134%2.70X27%2.90239%2.45 1.4–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.85 ✓
FT Central SC1 Ferroviario1 141%2.35X28%2.88231%3.00 1.2–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.50 ✓
FT Brasiliense0 Goiatuba EC0 144%1.90X29%3.00227%3.90 1.1–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓
FT Cascavel2 Marcílio Dias2 137%2.60X30%2.45233%3.00 1.1–1.1xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.44 ✗
FT Portuguesa RJ1 Noroeste1 140%2.20X28%2.88232%3.25 1.2–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✓
FT Tuna Luso1 Iguatu2 134%2.50X27%2.88239%2.70 1.3–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.36 ✓
FT Altos0 ABC1 121%4.00X26%3.00253%1.90 0.9–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓
FT CRAC1 Tombense0 140%2.30X29%2.62231%3.10 1.1–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.05 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sao Jose vs Santa Catarina?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Sao Jose vs Santa Catarina?

On our numbers Sao Jose have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Santa Catarina 31%.

How many goals will there be in Sao Jose vs Santa Catarina?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sao Jose vs Santa Catarina?

Our predicted score is Sao Jose 1–0 Santa Catarina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Sao Jose vs Santa Catarina?

Sao Jose vs Santa Catarina (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Novelletto Neto.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.