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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tuna Luso v Iguatu: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Iguatu

Tuna Luso 34%Draw 27%Iguatu 39% Expected goals 1.27 – 1.41

72%

Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating

1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultIguatu to win ✓39% · @2.70

Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.56

Tuna Luso vs Iguatu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tuna Luso welcome Iguatu for a Serie D fixture on Sunday 21 June (20:00 WAT).

Current form

Tuna Luso, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Imperatriz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tuna Luso 1.3 xG, Iguatu 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Tuna Luso 34%, draw 27%, Iguatu 39%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tuna Luso 1–1 Iguatu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tuna Luso34%fair 2.90 · @2.50

Draw27%fair 3.74 · @2.88

Iguatu39%fair 2.58 · @2.70

2.68Expected goals

1.27Tuna Luso xG

1.41Iguatu xG

53%Both score

47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–110%

1–09%

1–29%

2–18%

0–07%

From our goals model: Tuna Luso 1.3 – 1.4 Iguatu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Iguatu to win ✓	39%	2.58	2.70
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	73%	1.37	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	53%	1.88	1.83
Draw no bet	Iguatu (draw no bet) ✓	53%	1.89	–
Asian handicap	Tuna Luso +1 (Asian handicap)	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	72%	1.39	1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.87	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	1.07
First team to score	Iguatu to score first ✗	49%	2.04	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.36	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Iguatu / FT Iguatu ✗	24%	4.25	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✓	9%	11.56	–

Recent results

Tuna Luso – last 6

LWDWDW

6 Jun	@ Imperatriz	0–4	L
31 May	vs Trem	1–0	W
24 May	@ Oratório	3–3	D
17 May	vs Águia de Marabá	2–1	W
5 Apr	vs Imperatriz	0–0	D
4 Mar	vs Tocantinópolis	4–1	W

1.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Iguatu – last 2

7 Jun	@ Sampaio Correa	1–0	W
30 May	vs Parnahyba	2–2	D

1.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tuna Luso and Iguatu.

Tuna Luso vs Iguatu head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

Parnahyba2

Águia de Marabá1 134%2.70X27%2.90239%2.45 1.4–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.85 ✓

Central SC1

Ferroviario1 141%2.35X28%2.88231%3.00 1.2–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.50 ✓

Brasiliense0

Goiatuba EC0 144%1.90X29%3.00227%3.90 1.1–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓

Cascavel2

Marcílio Dias2 137%2.60X30%2.45233%3.00 1.1–1.1xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.44 ✗

Sao Jose1

Santa Catarina1 140%2.62X29%2.70231%2.75 1.2–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.40 ✓

Portuguesa RJ1

Noroeste1 140%2.20X28%2.88232%3.25 1.2–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✓

Altos0

ABC1 121%4.00X26%3.00253%1.90 0.9–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓

CRAC1

Tombense0 140%2.30X29%2.62231%3.10 1.1–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.05 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tuna Luso vs Iguatu?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Tuna Luso vs Iguatu?

On our numbers Tuna Luso have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Iguatu 39%.

How many goals will there be in Tuna Luso vs Iguatu?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tuna Luso vs Iguatu?

Our predicted score is Tuna Luso 1–1 Iguatu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Tuna Luso vs Iguatu?

Tuna Luso vs Iguatu (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.