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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Central SC v Ferroviario: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Central SC

WLDD
1–1
FT

Ferroviario

WDWDL
Central SC 41%Draw 28%Ferroviario 31% Expected goals 1.23 – 0.96
63%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCentral SC to win ✗41% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.27

Central SC vs Ferroviario: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 21 June the Serie D brings Central SC against Ferroviario. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.

Current form

Central SC, last 4: WLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Laguna, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Ferroviario, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Fluminense PI, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Central SC 1.2 xG, Ferroviario 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Central SC 41%, draw 28%, Ferroviario 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Central SC 1–1 Ferroviario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Central SC41%fair 2.42 · @2.35
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @2.88
Ferroviario31%fair 3.24 · @3.00
2.20Expected goals
1.23Central SC xG
0.96Ferroviario xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Central SC 1.2 – 1.0 Ferroviario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCentral SC to win ✗41%2.422.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.391.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.902.10 ▲
Draw no betCentral SC (draw no bet)57%1.75–
Asian handicapFerroviario +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.581.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.601.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.241.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.05
First team to scoreCentral SC to score first ✗50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Central SC / FT Central SC ✗24%4.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.27–

Recent results

Central SC – last 4

WLDD
14 Junvs Laguna2–1W
29 May@ America-RN0–1L
17 Mayvs Maguary PE0–0D
5 Apr@ Laguna1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Ferroviario – last 6

WDWDLD
13 Junvs Fluminense PI1–0W
1 Jun@ TirolCEFAT0–0D
17 Mayvs Uniclinic Atletico Clube2–0W
11 May@ Piauí1–1D
30 Apr@ ABC1–4L
15 Aprvs Retrô1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Central SC and Ferroviario.

Central SC vs Ferroviario head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Parnahyba2 Águia de Marabá1 134%2.70X27%2.90239%2.45 1.4–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.85 ✓
FT Brasiliense0 Goiatuba EC0 144%1.90X29%3.00227%3.90 1.1–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓
FT Cascavel2 Marcílio Dias2 137%2.60X30%2.45233%3.00 1.1–1.1xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.44 ✗
FT Sao Jose1 Santa Catarina1 140%2.62X29%2.70231%2.75 1.2–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.40 ✓
FT Portuguesa RJ1 Noroeste1 140%2.20X28%2.88232%3.25 1.2–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✓
FT Tuna Luso1 Iguatu2 134%2.50X27%2.88239%2.70 1.3–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.36 ✓
FT Altos0 ABC1 121%4.00X26%3.00253%1.90 0.9–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓
FT CRAC1 Tombense0 140%2.30X29%2.62231%3.10 1.1–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.05 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Central SC vs Ferroviario?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Central SC vs Ferroviario?

On our numbers Central SC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Ferroviario 31%.

How many goals will there be in Central SC vs Ferroviario?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Central SC vs Ferroviario?

Our predicted score is Central SC 1–1 Ferroviario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Central SC vs Ferroviario?

Central SC vs Ferroviario (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.