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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cerezo Osaka v Fagiano Okayama: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Yodoko Sakura Stadium
2–1
FT
Cerezo Osaka 54%Draw 24%Fagiano Okayama 22% Expected goals 1.81 – 1.16
78%
Betarazi pick

Cerezo Osaka or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultCerezo Osaka to win ✓54% · @1.90
Double chanceCerezo Osaka or draw ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.26

Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Saturday 8 August: Cerezo Osaka v Fagiano Okayama in the J1 League, played at Yodoko Sakura Stadium. In the table, Cerezo Osaka are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 18 matches; Fagiano Okayama are 6th (lower half) with 26.

Current form

Cerezo Osaka, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Borussia Dortmund, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.

Fagiano Okayama, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to FC Schalke 04, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Cerezo Osaka, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Fagiano Okayama.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Fagiano Okayama 2–3 Cerezo Osaka. The last 2 head-to-heads: Cerezo Osaka 1 win, Fagiano Okayama 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cerezo Osaka 1.8 xG, Fagiano Okayama 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cerezo Osaka 54%, draw 24%, Fagiano Okayama 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Cerezo Osaka or draw (78%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Cerezo Osaka or draw (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Fagiano Okayama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cerezo Osaka54%fair 1.85 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.55
Fagiano Okayama22%fair 4.59 · @3.80
2.96Expected goals
1.81Cerezo Osaka xG
1.16Fagiano Okayama xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
0–16%

From our goals model: Cerezo Osaka 1.8 – 1.2 Fagiano Okayama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCerezo Osaka to win ✓54%1.851.90
Double chanceCerezo Osaka or draw ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.65
Draw no betCerezo Osaka (draw no bet) ✓71%1.40–
Asian handicapFagiano Okayama +1 (Asian handicap)62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.211.14
First team to scoreCerezo Osaka to score first58%1.73–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.54–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cerezo Osaka / FT Cerezo Osaka ✓32%3.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.26–

Recent results

Cerezo Osaka – last 6

WWWDWW
29 Julvs Borussia Dortmund1–0W
15 Julvs Tochigi City1–0W
6 Jun@ FC Tokyo3–1W
30 Mayvs FC Tokyo2–2D
24 May@ Fagiano Okayama3–2W
17 Mayvs Nagoya Grampus6–1W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Fagiano Okayama – last 6

LLWLWD
25 Jul@ FC Schalke 041–3L
22 Jul@ Werder Bremen0–2L
21 Jul@ Metalist 1925 Kharkiv2–1W
14 Jul@ SV Wehen0–2L
6 Jun@ Urawa2–0W
31 Mayvs Urawa1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Fagiano Okayama v Cerezo Osaka2–3
18 Mar 2026Cerezo Osaka v Fagiano Okayama1–2
Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?

Our pick is Cerezo Osaka or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?

On our numbers Cerezo Osaka have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fagiano Okayama 22%.

How many goals will there be in Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?

Our predicted score is Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Fagiano Okayama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?

Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.