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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kashiwa Reysol v Mito Hollyhock: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium
2–1
FT
Kashiwa Reysol 66%Draw 20%Mito Hollyhock 14% Expected goals 2.14 – 0.81
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultKashiwa Reysol to win ✓66% · @1.57
Double chanceKashiwa Reysol or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.31

Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mito Hollyhock travel to face Kashiwa Reysol on Saturday 8 August in the J1 League, with Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Kashiwa Reysol are 8th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 18 matches; Mito Hollyhock are 9th (in the drop zone) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Kashiwa Reysol, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with JEF United Chiba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Mito Hollyhock, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to V-varen Nagasaki, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Kashiwa Reysol, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.0 for Mito Hollyhock.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Mito Hollyhock 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol. The last 2 head-to-heads: Kashiwa Reysol 1 win, Mito Hollyhock 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kashiwa Reysol 2.1 xG, Mito Hollyhock 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kashiwa Reysol 66%, draw 20%, Mito Hollyhock 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.90.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Mito Hollyhock. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kashiwa Reysol66%fair 1.52 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.85
Mito Hollyhock14%fair 7.18 · @5.80
2.94Expected goals
2.14Kashiwa Reysol xG
0.81Mito Hollyhock xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%

From our goals model: Kashiwa Reysol 2.1 – 0.8 Mito Hollyhock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKashiwa Reysol to win ✓66%1.521.57
Double chanceKashiwa Reysol or draw ✓86%1.161.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.90 ▲
Draw no betKashiwa Reysol (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapKashiwa Reysol -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.461.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.11
First team to scoreKashiwa Reysol to score first ✓69%1.45–
Half-time resultKashiwa Reysol ahead at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kashiwa Reysol / FT Kashiwa Reysol ✓44%2.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.31–

Recent results

Kashiwa Reysol – last 6

DLWWWW
1 Aug@ JEF United Chiba0–0D
6 Junvs Kyoto Sanga0–1L
30 May@ Kyoto Sanga6–2W
23 Mayvs JEF United Chiba4–2W
16 May@ Yokohama F. Marinos1–0W
10 Mayvs Kawasaki Frontale1–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Mito Hollyhock – last 6

LLLLLL
6 Junvs V-varen Nagasaki0–1L
30 May@ V-varen Nagasaki0–1L
24 Mayvs Kawasaki Frontale1–3L
16 Mayvs Tokyo Verdy0–1L
9 Mayvs Urawa1–4L
6 May@ Kashima0–3L
0.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Mito Hollyhock v Kashiwa Reysol2–0
22 Mar 2026Kashiwa Reysol v Mito Hollyhock3–0
Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock?

On our numbers Kashiwa Reysol have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mito Hollyhock 14%.

How many goals will there be in Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock?

Our predicted score is Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Mito Hollyhock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock?

Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.