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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nagoya Grampus v Shimizu S-pulse: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Toyota Stadium

Nagoya Grampus

LLDLL
0–1
FT

Shimizu S-pulse

WWLDL
Nagoya Grampus 50%Draw 25%Shimizu S-pulse 25% Expected goals 1.63 – 1.07
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultNagoya Grampus to win ✗50% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.47

Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-pulse: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nagoya Grampus welcome Shimizu S-pulse to Toyota Stadium for a J1 League fixture on Saturday 8 August (11:00 WAT). In the table, Nagoya Grampus are 3rd, among the top four, on 31 points after 18 matches; Shimizu S-pulse are 7th (lower half) with 24.

Current form

Nagoya Grampus, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Consadole Sapporo, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Shimizu S-pulse, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Karlsruher SC, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Shimizu S-pulse, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Nagoya Grampus.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Apr 2026) it ended Shimizu S-pulse 0–2 Nagoya Grampus.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nagoya Grampus 1.6 xG, Shimizu S-pulse 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nagoya Grampus 50%, draw 25%, Shimizu S-pulse 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nagoya Grampus50%fair 2.00 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.40
Shimizu S-pulse25%fair 3.98 · @3.40
2.70Expected goals
1.63Nagoya Grampus xG
1.07Shimizu S-pulse xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%

From our goals model: Nagoya Grampus 1.6 – 1.1 Shimizu S-pulse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNagoya Grampus to win ✗50%2.002.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.731.67
Draw no betNagoya Grampus (draw no bet) ✗67%1.50–
Asian handicapShimizu S-pulse +1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.351.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.971.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.421.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.12
First team to scoreNagoya Grampus to score first ✗56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nagoya Grampus / FT Nagoya Grampus ✗30%3.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.47–

Recent results

Nagoya Grampus – last 6

LLDLLW
25 Jul@ Consadole Sapporo0–1L
21 Jul@ FC Tokyo1–2L
6 Jun@ Machida Zelvia0–0D
23 May@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima2–4L
17 May@ Cerezo Osaka1–6L
10 Mayvs Kyoto Sanga3–0W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Shimizu S-pulse – last 6

WWLDLL
18 Jul@ Karlsruher SC3–1W
14 Jul@ Polessya3–1W
6 Jun@ Yokohama F. Marinos0–3L
31 Mayvs Yokohama F. Marinos1–1D
24 Mayvs Gamba Osaka1–2L
17 May@ Fagiano Okayama0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Apr 2026Shimizu S-pulse v Nagoya Grampus0–2
Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-pulse head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub
FT Avispa Fukuoka0 Vissel Kobe1 117%4.10X26%3.20256%1.95 0.8–1.6xG X2Vissel Kobe or draw 83%@1.22 ✓
FT Cerezo Osaka2 Fagiano Okayama1 154%1.90X24%3.55222%3.80 1.8–1.2xG 1XCerezo Osaka or draw 78%@1.25 ✓
FT FC Tokyo1 Machida Zelvia5 140%2.35X29%3.10231%3.10 1.2–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✗
FT Kashiwa Reysol2 Mito Hollyhock1 166%1.57X20%3.85214%5.80 2.1–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.30 ✓
FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima3 JEF United Chiba0 168%1.48X19%4.33212%6.00 2.2–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-pulse?

On our numbers Nagoya Grampus have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shimizu S-pulse 25%.

How many goals will there be in Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-pulse?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Our predicted score is Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-pulse (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.