Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKashima to win ✓59% · @1.83
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.20
Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nagoya Grampus travel to face Kashima on Saturday 15 August in the J1 League, with Kashima Soccer Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 10:00 WAT. In the table, Kashima are 1st, leading the league, on 45 points after 18 matches; Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (among the top four) with 31. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kashima, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Yokohama F. Marinos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Nagoya Grampus, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Shimizu S-pulse, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Kashima, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.2 for Nagoya Grampus.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kashima 2.1 xG, Nagoya Grampus 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kashima 59%, draw 21%, Nagoya Grampus 20%.
Lower-risk option: Kashima or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.29, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kashima 2–1 Nagoya Grampus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kashima59%fair 1.69 · @1.83
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.45
Nagoya Grampus20%fair 5.03 · @4.20
3.28Expected goals
2.12Kashima xG
1.16Nagoya Grampus xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Kashima 2.1 – 1.2 Nagoya Grampus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✓
59%
1.69
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Kashima or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.83
Draw no bet
Kashima (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Nagoya Grampus +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.09
First team to score
Kashima to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Kashima ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✓
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Kashima – last 6
WWWLWW
7 Aug
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
4–3
W
15 Jul
vs Vegalta Sendai
5–0
W
6 Jun
vs Vissel Kobe
2–0
W
30 May
@ Vissel Kobe
0–5
L
23 May
vs FC Tokyo
1–0
W
17 May
@ JEF United Chiba
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nagoya Grampus – last 6
LLLDLL
8 Aug
vs Shimizu S-pulse
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Consadole Sapporo
0–1
L
21 Jul
@ FC Tokyo
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ Machida Zelvia
0–0
D
23 May
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–4
L
17 May
@ Cerezo Osaka
1–6
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashima and Nagoya Grampus.
What is the prediction for Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus?
On our numbers Kashima have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nagoya Grampus 20%.
How many goals will there be in Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our predicted score is Kashima 2–1 Nagoya Grampus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus?
Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Kashima Soccer Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gamba Osaka1
Shimizu S-pulse0
Fagiano Okayama1
V-varen Nagasaki0
Kyoto Sanga2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima4
Vissel Kobe2
Avispa Fukuoka3
Cerezo Osaka0