Value bet: Cerezo Osaka to win @ 2.62 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCerezo Osaka to win ✗43% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.30
Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cerezo Osaka travel to face Avispa Fukuoka on Saturday 15 August in the J1 League, with Best Denki Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Avispa Fukuoka are 10th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 18 matches; Cerezo Osaka are 2nd (among the top four) with 31.
Current form
Avispa Fukuoka, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Vissel Kobe, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Cerezo Osaka, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fagiano Okayama, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Cerezo Osaka, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Avispa Fukuoka.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Avispa Fukuoka 0–2 Cerezo Osaka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Avispa Fukuoka 1.1 xG, Cerezo Osaka 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Avispa Fukuoka 34%, draw 23%, Cerezo Osaka 43%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Cerezo Osaka to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Cerezo Osaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Avispa Fukuoka34%fair 2.93 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Cerezo Osaka43%fair 2.33 · @2.62
2.28Expected goals
1.05Avispa Fukuoka xG
1.23Cerezo Osaka xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Avispa Fukuoka 1.1 – 1.2 Cerezo Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?
On our numbers Avispa Fukuoka have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cerezo Osaka 43%.
How many goals will there be in Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our predicted score is Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Cerezo Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?
Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Best Denki Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kashima2
Mito Hollyhock1
Yokohama F. Marinos1
JEF United Chiba0
Machida Zelvia4
Kawasaki Frontale2
Urawa1
FC Tokyo2