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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shimizu S-pulse v Yokohama F. Marinos: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · IAI Stadium Nihondaira
Shimizu S-pulse 34%Draw 23%Yokohama F. Marinos 43% Expected goals 1.54 – 1.77
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: Yokohama F. Marinos to win @ 2.75 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultYokohama F. Marinos to win ✓43% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.36

Shimizu S-pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 15 August the J1 League brings Shimizu S-pulse against Yokohama F. Marinos at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Kick-off: 10:30 WAT. In the table, Shimizu S-pulse are 7th, lower half, on 24 points after 18 matches; Yokohama F. Marinos are 7th (lower half) with 20.

Current form

Shimizu S-pulse, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nagoya Grampus, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Yokohama F. Marinos, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Kashima, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Jun 2026) it ended Yokohama F. Marinos 3–0 Shimizu S-pulse. The last 2 head-to-heads: Shimizu S-pulse 0 wins, Yokohama F. Marinos 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shimizu S-pulse 1.5 xG, Yokohama F. Marinos 1.8 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shimizu S-pulse 34%, draw 23%, Yokohama F. Marinos 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Yokohama F. Marinos to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Yokohama F. Marinos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shimizu S-pulse34%fair 2.95 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.30
Yokohama F. Marinos43%fair 2.30 · @2.75
3.31Expected goals
1.54Shimizu S-pulse xG
1.77Yokohama F. Marinos xG
65%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%

From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 1.5 – 1.8 Yokohama F. Marinos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultYokohama F. Marinos to win ✓43%2.302.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.551.70 ▲
Draw no betYokohama F. Marinos (draw no bet) ✓56%1.78–
Asian handicapShimizu S-pulse +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.281.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.531.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.241.10
First team to scoreYokohama F. Marinos to score first ✓51%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓37%2.68–
Half-time / full-timeHT Yokohama F. Marinos / FT Yokohama F. Marinos ✗26%3.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.36–

Recent results

Shimizu S-pulse – last 6

WWWLDL
8 Aug@ Nagoya Grampus1–0W
18 Jul@ Karlsruher SC3–1W
14 Jul@ Polessya3–1W
6 Jun@ Yokohama F. Marinos0–3L
31 Mayvs Yokohama F. Marinos1–1D
24 Mayvs Gamba Osaka1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Yokohama F. Marinos – last 6

LWDWDW
7 Augvs Kashima3–4L
19 Julvs Roasso Kumamoto3–1W
15 Julvs Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–1D
6 Junvs Shimizu S-pulse3–0W
31 May@ Shimizu S-pulse1–1D
24 May@ Tokyo Verdy6–0W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Jun 2026Yokohama F. Marinos v Shimizu S-pulse3–0
31 May 2026Shimizu S-pulse v Yokohama F. Marinos1–1
Shimizu S-pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Yokohama F. Marinos 43%.

How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Yokohama F. Marinos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Shimizu S-pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Shimizu S-pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.