Kagoshima United 60%Draw 20%Thespakusatsu Gunma 20%Expected goals 2.15 – 0.95
80%
Betarazi pick
Kagoshima United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.24Odds
1
Value bet: Kagoshima United to win @ 1.89 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKagoshima United to win ✓60% · @1.89
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✓80% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Kagoshima United vs Thespakusatsu Gunma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Thespakusatsu Gunma travel to face Kagoshima United on Saturday 8 August in the J3 League, with Shiranami Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Kagoshima United are 4th, among the top four, on 31 points after 16 matches; Thespakusatsu Gunma are 19th (in the drop zone) with 13. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kagoshima United, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Blaublitz Akita, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Thespakusatsu Gunma, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Kanazawa, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kagoshima United 2.2 xG, Thespakusatsu Gunma 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kagoshima United 60%, draw 20%, Thespakusatsu Gunma 20%.
Lower-risk option: Kagoshima United or draw (80%) at 1.24.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Kagoshima United to win @1.89 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Kagoshima United or draw (80%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kagoshima United 2–0 Thespakusatsu Gunma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kagoshima United60%fair 1.66 · @1.89
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.70
Thespakusatsu Gunma20%fair 5.06 · @3.60
3.11Expected goals
2.15Kagoshima United xG
0.95Thespakusatsu Gunma xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Kagoshima United 2.2 – 1.0 Thespakusatsu Gunma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kagoshima United to win✓
60%
1.66
1.89 ▲
Double chance
Kagoshima United or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.67
Draw no bet
Kagoshima United (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Kagoshima United -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.39
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.13
First team to score
Kagoshima United to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Kagoshima United ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kagoshima United / FT Kagoshima United✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Kagoshima United – last 6
WDWWLL
7 Jun
@ Blaublitz Akita
2–0
W
30 May
@ Albirex Niigata
0–0
D
24 May
@ Kitakyushu
5–1
W
17 May
vs Roasso Kumamoto
2–1
W
10 May
@ Biwako Shiga
0–1
L
6 May
vs Oita Trinita
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Thespakusatsu Gunma – last 6
LWLWWL
7 Jun
@ Kanazawa
1–4
L
23 May
vs Sagamihara
7–2
W
17 May
@ Blaublitz Akita
1–3
L
6 May
@ Montedio Yamagata
2–1
W
3 May
@ Vanraure Hachinohe
1–0
W
29 Apr
vs Vegalta Sendai
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kagoshima United and Thespakusatsu Gunma.
What is the prediction for Kagoshima United vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Our pick is Kagoshima United or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Kagoshima United vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
On our numbers Kagoshima United have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Thespakusatsu Gunma 20%.
How many goals will there be in Kagoshima United vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kagoshima United vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Our predicted score is Kagoshima United 2–0 Thespakusatsu Gunma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Kagoshima United vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Kagoshima United vs Thespakusatsu Gunma (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Shiranami Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
