Value bet: Draw @ 3.40 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRenofa Yamaguchi to win ✗40% · @2.05
Double chanceRenofa Yamaguchi or draw ✗76% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.96
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.34
Parceiro Nagano vs Renofa Yamaguchi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 8 August the J3 League brings Parceiro Nagano against Renofa Yamaguchi at Nagano U Stadium. Kick-off: 10:00 WAT. In the table, Parceiro Nagano are 10th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Renofa Yamaguchi are 5th (upper half) with 30.
Current form
Parceiro Nagano, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Iwaki, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Renofa Yamaguchi, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Yokohama FC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Parceiro Nagano 1.1 xG, Renofa Yamaguchi 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Parceiro Nagano 24%, draw 36%, Renofa Yamaguchi 40%.
Lower-risk option: Renofa Yamaguchi or draw (76%) at 1.27.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.96.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Renofa Yamaguchi or draw (76%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Parceiro Nagano 1–1 Renofa Yamaguchi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Parceiro Nagano24%fair 4.09 · @3.41
Draw36%fair 2.78 · @3.40
Renofa Yamaguchi40%fair 2.53 · @2.05
2.45Expected goals
1.07Parceiro Nagano xG
1.39Renofa Yamaguchi xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%
From our goals model: Parceiro Nagano 1.1 – 1.4 Renofa Yamaguchi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Renofa Yamaguchi to win✗
40%
2.53
2.05
Double chance
Renofa Yamaguchi or draw✗
76%
1.32
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.96 ▲
Draw no bet
Renofa Yamaguchi (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Parceiro Nagano +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.21
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.04
First team to score
Renofa Yamaguchi to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Renofa Yamaguchi / FT Renofa Yamaguchi✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.34
–
Recent results
Parceiro Nagano – last 6
LWLLLW
12 Jul
vs Iwaki
1–3
L
17 May
@ Omiya Ardija
2–1
W
9 May
vs FC Gifu
2–3
L
6 May
@ Consadole Sapporo
0–2
L
29 Apr
vs Fukushima United
1–3
L
26 Apr
@ Matsumoto Yamaga
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Renofa Yamaguchi – last 6
LDLWLW
6 Jun
@ Yokohama FC
1–2
L
30 May
@ Kochi United
2–2
D
9 May
vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0–1
L
6 May
@ Biwako Shiga
4–1
W
2 May
@ Gainare Tottori
1–4
L
29 Apr
vs FC Ryukyu
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parceiro Nagano and Renofa Yamaguchi.
What is the prediction for Parceiro Nagano vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Our pick is Renofa Yamaguchi or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Parceiro Nagano vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
On our numbers Parceiro Nagano have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 36% and Renofa Yamaguchi 40%.
How many goals will there be in Parceiro Nagano vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parceiro Nagano vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Our predicted score is Parceiro Nagano 1–1 Renofa Yamaguchi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Parceiro Nagano vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Parceiro Nagano vs Renofa Yamaguchi (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Nagano U Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
