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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kochi United v Matsumoto Yamaga: numbers & prediction

J3 League · Japan · Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium
0–0
FT
Kochi United 34%Draw 27%Matsumoto Yamaga 39% Expected goals 0.99 – 1.30
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.34 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.34Odds
2

Value bet: Matsumoto Yamaga to win @ 2.76 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✗39% · @2.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.79

Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kochi United welcome Matsumoto Yamaga to Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium for a J3 League fixture on Saturday 8 August (11:00 WAT). In the table, Kochi United are 20th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 16 matches; Matsumoto Yamaga are 15th (lower half) with 17.

Current form

Kochi United, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Omiya Ardija, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Matsumoto Yamaga, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Ventforet Kofu, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Matsumoto Yamaga, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Kochi United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kochi United 1.0 xG, Matsumoto Yamaga 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kochi United 34%, draw 27%, Matsumoto Yamaga 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.84.
  • Price worth noting: Matsumoto Yamaga to win @2.76 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.34). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kochi United 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kochi United34%fair 2.92 · @2.38
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.04
Matsumoto Yamaga39%fair 2.59 · @2.76
2.29Expected goals
0.99Kochi United xG
1.30Matsumoto Yamaga xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Kochi United 1.0 – 1.3 Matsumoto Yamaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✗39%2.592.76 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.371.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.921.84
Draw no betMatsumoto Yamaga (draw no bet)53%1.88–
Asian handicapKochi United +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.491.34
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.711.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.02
First team to scoreMatsumoto Yamaga to score first ✗51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga ✗25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.79–

Recent results

Kochi United – last 6

LDLLWL
6 Jun@ Omiya Ardija1–2L
30 Mayvs Renofa Yamaguchi2–2D
24 May@ Kanazawa0–2L
17 Mayvs Ehime FC0–1L
10 May@ Kamatamare Sanuki3–0W
6 May@ Imabari0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6

WLDWLL
25 Julvs Ventforet Kofu3–0W
6 Junvs Nara Club0–2L
31 May@ Montedio Yamagata1–1D
6 May@ FC Gifu3–0W
3 Mayvs Ventforet Kofu0–1L
26 Aprvs Parceiro Nagano0–1L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kochi United and Matsumoto Yamaga.

Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga head-to-head page →

J3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nara Club161024+1232
2FC Gifu161015+1431
3Sagamihara16943+1131
4Kagoshima United16943+1031
5Renofa Yamaguchi16934+930
6Osaka16853+1129
7Ehime FC16925+629
8Roasso Kumamoto16664+624
9Kanazawa16727+723
10Parceiro Nagano16727+123
11FC Ryukyu16727023
12Tochigi SC16565-121
13Kitakyushu16547-319
14Fukushima United16538-218
15Matsumoto Yamaga16457-317
16Biwako Shiga16529-917
17Gainare Tottori16439-1515
18Kamatamare Sanuki164210-1014
19Thespakusatsu Gunma164111-1813
20Kochi United162311-269

More J3 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.

Who will win Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

On our numbers Kochi United have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Matsumoto Yamaga 39%.

How many goals will there be in Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Our predicted score is Kochi United 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.