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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zaglebie Sosnowiec v Podbeskidzie: numbers & prediction

2–2
FT
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 31%Draw 26%Podbeskidzie 43% Expected goals 1.62 – 1.48
60%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.53Odds
1

Value bet: Zaglebie Sosnowiec to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPodbeskidzie to win ✗43% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.55

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Podbeskidzie: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

10:00 WAT, Saturday 4 July: Zaglebie Sosnowiec v Podbeskidzie in the Friendlies Clubs.

Current form

Zaglebie Sosnowiec, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sandecja Nowy Sącz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Podbeskidzie, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sandecja Nowy Sącz, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Momentum favours Podbeskidzie, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.8 for Zaglebie Sosnowiec.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Podbeskidzie 2–0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1.6 xG, Podbeskidzie 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zaglebie Sosnowiec 31%, draw 26%, Podbeskidzie 43%.
  • Price worth noting: Zaglebie Sosnowiec to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2–1 Podbeskidzie. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zaglebie Sosnowiec31%fair 3.22 · @3.60
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.50
Podbeskidzie43%fair 2.34 · @1.80
3.10Expected goals
1.62Zaglebie Sosnowiec xG
1.48Podbeskidzie xG
54%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1.6 – 1.5 Podbeskidzie expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Zaglebie SosnowiecPodbeskidzie
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+8%-15%
Goals conceded vs average+16%-8%
Our expected goals here1.500.90

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPodbeskidzie to win ✗43%2.341.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.361.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.85–
Draw no betPodbeskidzie (draw no bet)58%1.73–
Asian handicapPodbeskidzie +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreZaglebie Sosnowiec to score first50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.57–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zaglebie Sosnowiec / FT Zaglebie Sosnowiec ✗25%4.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.55–

Recent results

Zaglebie Sosnowiec – last 6

LWDLLD
30 May@ Sandecja Nowy Sącz0–1L
22 Mayvs Kalisz3–0W
30 Aprvs Stal Stalowa Wola0–0D
24 Apr@ Podbeskidzie0–2L
29 Marvs Rekord Bielsko-Biała0–4L
22 Marvs Warta Poznań2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Podbeskidzie – last 6

WWWWWW
6 Junvs Sandecja Nowy Sącz3–1W
2 Junvs Śląsk Wrocław II2–1W
30 Mayvs Podhale Nowy Targ2–1W
1 May@ Świt Skolwin2–0W
24 Aprvs Zaglebie Sosnowiec2–0W
29 Marvs Kalisz4–1W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026Podbeskidzie v Zaglebie Sosnowiec2–0
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Podbeskidzie head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Podbeskidzie?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Podbeskidzie?

On our numbers Zaglebie Sosnowiec have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Podbeskidzie 43%.

How many goals will there be in Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Podbeskidzie?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Podbeskidzie?

Our predicted score is Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2–1 Podbeskidzie, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Podbeskidzie?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Podbeskidzie (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.