Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Unia Skierniewice to win @ 2.70 – our chance 45% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUnia Skierniewice to win ✗45% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.74
Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki travel to face Unia Skierniewice on Saturday 4 July in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 10:00 WAT.
Current form
Unia Skierniewice, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Pogoń Siedlce, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Wisla Plock, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Unia Skierniewice, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Unia Skierniewice 2.0 xG, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.4 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Unia Skierniewice 45%, draw 22%, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 32%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Unia Skierniewice to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Unia Skierniewice 1–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Unia Skierniewice45%fair 2.20 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.40
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki32%fair 3.12 · @2.30
3.40Expected goals
1.99Unia Skierniewice xG
1.41Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG
66%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Unia Skierniewice 2.0 – 1.4 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Unia Skierniewice
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+7%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
+27%
Our expected goals here
2.34
1.32
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Unia Skierniewice to win✗
45%
2.20
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.55
Draw no bet
Unia Skierniewice (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
First team to score
Unia Skierniewice to score first✗
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Unia Skierniewice ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Unia Skierniewice / FT Unia Skierniewice✗
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.74
–
Recent results
Unia Skierniewice – last 6
WLLWLD
27 Jun
@ Pogoń Siedlce
3–0
W
30 May
@ Kalisz
1–2
L
22 May
vs Chojniczanka Chojnice
2–3
L
26 Apr
vs Sokół Kleczew
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ Śląsk Wrocław II
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Hutnik Kraków
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – last 6
LDDLLD
27 Jun
@ Wisla Plock
1–2
L
24 May
@ Slask Wroclaw
0–0
D
17 May
vs Tychy 71
0–0
D
11 May
@ Odra Opole
1–3
L
7 May
@ ŁKS Łódź
2–3
L
27 Apr
@ Ruch Chorzów
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Unia Skierniewice and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
What is the prediction for Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
On our numbers Unia Skierniewice have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 32%.
How many goals will there be in Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Our predicted score is Unia Skierniewice 1–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?
Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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