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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zaglebie Lubin v Pogon Szczecin: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Zaglebie Lubin

WLDLL
2–0
FT

Pogon Szczecin

WDWLW
Zaglebie Lubin 41%Draw 25%Pogon Szczecin 34% Expected goals 1.54 – 1.30
53%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultZaglebie Lubin to win ✓41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗4% · fair 28.34

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Saturday 4 July: Zaglebie Lubin v Pogon Szczecin in the Friendlies Clubs.

Current form

Zaglebie Lubin, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Podbrezová, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Pogon Szczecin, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over BFC Dynamo, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Pogon Szczecin, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Zaglebie Lubin.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zaglebie Lubin 1.5 xG, Pogon Szczecin 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zaglebie Lubin 41%, draw 25%, Pogon Szczecin 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zaglebie Lubin 2–1 Pogon Szczecin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zaglebie Lubin41%fair 2.45 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.40
Pogon Szczecin34%fair 2.92 · @2.75
2.84Expected goals
1.54Zaglebie Lubin xG
1.30Pogon Szczecin xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Zaglebie Lubin 1.5 – 1.3 Pogon Szczecin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Zaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average-8%-15%
Goals conceded vs average-17%-8%
Our expected goals here1.471.14

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZaglebie Lubin to win ✓41%2.452.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.98–
Draw no betZaglebie Lubin (draw no bet) ✓54%1.84–
Asian handicapPogon Szczecin +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreZaglebie Lubin to score first ✓51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zaglebie Lubin / FT Zaglebie Lubin ✓25%3.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗4%28.34–

Recent results

Zaglebie Lubin – last 6

WLDLLL
1 Julvs Podbrezová3–2W
23 May@ Jagiellonia0–1L
3 Mayvs Cracovia Krakow0–0D
24 Aprvs Nieciecza1–2L
17 Apr@ Legia Warszawa0–1L
7 Apr@ Arka Gdynia1–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Pogon Szczecin – last 6

WDWLWL
27 Jun@ BFC Dynamo3–0W
23 Mayvs GKS Katowice1–1D
13 Apr@ Piast Gliwice2–0W
6 Aprvs Legia Warszawa0–2L
16 Marvs Korona Kielce2–1W
8 Mar@ Raków Częstochowa0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Zaglebie Lubin and Pogon Szczecin.

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Cancún1 Toluca0 119%9.00X20%5.10261%1.31 1.5–2.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.48 ✗
FT MTK Budapest2 Kecskeméti TE3 149%1.73X23%3.70228%4.10 2.0–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 83%@1.22 ✓
FT Sigma Olomouc2 Dukla Banská Bystrica1 160%1.62X23%3.90217%4.50 1.8–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.62 ✓
Cancelled České Budějovice Slavia Praha II 144%2.50X20%3.75235%2.25 2.2–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.60
FT FC Lugano1 Rapperswil1 160%1.25X20%5.20220%8.75 2.1–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 65%@1.45 ✗
FT Ružomberok3 Lokomotíva Zvolen3 150%1.67X24%3.80225%4.33 1.7–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Teplice0 Příbram0 163%1.50X24%3.70213%6.20 2.0–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✗
FT Mlada Boleslav3 Viktoria Žižkov0 164%1.57X20%4.00216%4.50 2.7–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.45 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?

On our numbers Zaglebie Lubin have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pogon Szczecin 34%.

How many goals will there be in Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?

Our predicted score is Zaglebie Lubin 2–1 Pogon Szczecin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.