Value bet: Parceiro Nagano to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRoasso Kumamoto to win ✗43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 15.96
Roasso Kumamoto vs Parceiro Nagano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Roasso Kumamoto v Parceiro Nagano in the J3 League, played at Egao Kenko Stadium. In the table, Roasso Kumamoto are 8th, upper half, on 24 points after 16 matches; Parceiro Nagano are 10th (upper half) with 23. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Roasso Kumamoto, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gainare Tottori, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Parceiro Nagano, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fukui United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Parceiro Nagano, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Roasso Kumamoto.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Roasso Kumamoto 0.9 xG, Parceiro Nagano 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Roasso Kumamoto 43%, draw 23%, Parceiro Nagano 35%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Parceiro Nagano to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Roasso Kumamoto 1–1 Parceiro Nagano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Roasso Kumamoto43%fair 2.34 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Parceiro Nagano35%fair 2.90 · @3.20
1.75Expected goals
0.95Roasso Kumamoto xG
0.80Parceiro Nagano xG
54%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Roasso Kumamoto 0.9 – 0.8 Parceiro Nagano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roasso Kumamoto to win✗
43%
2.34
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.75
Draw no bet
Roasso Kumamoto (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Parceiro Nagano +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Roasso Kumamoto to score first✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
6%
15.96
–
Recent results
Roasso Kumamoto – last 6
DDDLLW
19 Aug
@ Gainare Tottori
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Tochigi SC
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Sagamihara
0–0
D
19 Jul
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
1–3
L
6 Jun
@ Sagamihara
0–3
L
30 May
@ Ehime FC
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Parceiro Nagano – last 6
WLWLWL
19 Aug
vs Fukui United
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Osaka
2–4
L
8 Aug
vs Renofa Yamaguchi
1–0
W
12 Jul
vs Iwaki
1–3
L
17 May
@ Omiya Ardija
2–1
W
9 May
vs FC Gifu
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roasso Kumamoto and Parceiro Nagano.
What is the prediction for Roasso Kumamoto vs Parceiro Nagano?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Parceiro Nagano?
On our numbers Roasso Kumamoto have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Parceiro Nagano 35%.
How many goals will there be in Roasso Kumamoto vs Parceiro Nagano?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roasso Kumamoto vs Parceiro Nagano?
Our predicted score is Roasso Kumamoto 1–1 Parceiro Nagano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Roasso Kumamoto vs Parceiro Nagano?
Roasso Kumamoto vs Parceiro Nagano (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Egao Kenko Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
