Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Tochigi SC to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTochigi SC to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceTochigi SC or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.33
Tochigi SC vs Kitakyushu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the J3 League brings Tochigi SC against Kitakyushu at Kanseki Stadium Tochigi. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Tochigi SC are 12th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Kitakyushu are 13th (lower half) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Tochigi SC, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Urayasu, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Kitakyushu, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Okinawa SV, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tochigi SC, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Kitakyushu.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Jun 2026) it ended Tochigi SC 1–1 Kitakyushu.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tochigi SC 1.2 xG, Kitakyushu 0.4 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 77% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tochigi SC 60%, draw 22%, Kitakyushu 18%.
Lower-risk option: Tochigi SC or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Tochigi SC to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tochigi SC or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tochigi SC 1–0 Kitakyushu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tochigi SC60%fair 1.66 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.00
Kitakyushu18%fair 5.68 · @3.60
1.67Expected goals
1.23Tochigi SC xG
0.44Kitakyushu xG
43%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–023%
0–019%
2–014%
1–110%
0–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Tochigi SC 1.2 – 0.4 Kitakyushu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tochigi SC vs Kitakyushu?
Our pick is Tochigi SC or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tochigi SC vs Kitakyushu?
On our numbers Tochigi SC have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kitakyushu 18%.
How many goals will there be in Tochigi SC vs Kitakyushu?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tochigi SC vs Kitakyushu?
Our predicted score is Tochigi SC 1–0 Kitakyushu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Tochigi SC vs Kitakyushu?
Tochigi SC vs Kitakyushu (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Kanseki Stadium Tochigi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
