Matsumoto Yamaga 30%Draw 23%Ehime FC 47%Expected goals 1.54 – 1.96
60%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
2
Value bet: Ehime FC to win @ 2.25 – our chance 47% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEhime FC to win ✗47% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.19
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
10:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Matsumoto Yamaga v Ehime FC in the J3 League, played at Sunpro Alwin. In the table, Matsumoto Yamaga are 15th, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; Ehime FC are 7th (upper half) with 29. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Matsumoto Yamaga, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Biwako Shiga, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ehime FC, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Pacific University, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Matsumoto Yamaga 1.5 xG, Ehime FC 2.0 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Matsumoto Yamaga 30%, draw 23%, Ehime FC 47%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Ehime FC to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Ehime FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Matsumoto Yamaga30%fair 3.33 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.10
Ehime FC47%fair 2.11 · @2.25
3.50Expected goals
1.54Matsumoto Yamaga xG
1.96Ehime FC xG
60%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
1–36%
From our goals model: Matsumoto Yamaga 1.5 – 2.0 Ehime FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ehime FC to win✗
47%
2.11
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
1.73
Draw no bet
Ehime FC (draw no bet)
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Matsumoto Yamaga +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Ehime FC to score first
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Ehime FC ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ehime FC / FT Ehime FC✗
30%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.19
–
Recent results
Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6
LDWLDW
16 Aug
vs Biwako Shiga
2–3
L
8 Aug
@ Kochi United
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Ventforet Kofu
3–0
W
6 Jun
vs Nara Club
0–2
L
31 May
@ Montedio Yamagata
1–1
D
6 May
@ FC Gifu
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ehime FC – last 6
WWWLLL
19 Aug
vs Pacific University
2–1
W
16 Aug
vs Gainare Tottori
4–0
W
9 Aug
vs Nara Club
4–1
W
6 Jun
@ Fujieda MYFC
0–1
L
30 May
vs Roasso Kumamoto
0–1
L
23 May
@ Albirex Niigata
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Matsumoto Yamaga and Ehime FC.
What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime FC?
On our numbers Matsumoto Yamaga have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ehime FC 47%.
How many goals will there be in Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime FC?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime FC?
Our predicted score is Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Ehime FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime FC?
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime FC (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Sunpro Alwin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
