Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Matsumoto Yamaga travel to face Kitakyushu on Sunday 30 August in the J3 League, with Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu the venue – the ball rolls at 10:00 WAT. In the table, Kitakyushu are 13th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Matsumoto Yamaga are 15th (lower half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kitakyushu, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Tochigi SC, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Matsumoto Yamaga, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ehime FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kitakyushu 1.2 xG, Matsumoto Yamaga 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kitakyushu 36%, draw 23%, Matsumoto Yamaga 42%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kitakyushu 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kitakyushu36%fair 2.80 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Matsumoto Yamaga42%fair 2.41 · @2.45
2.60Expected goals
1.24Kitakyushu xG
1.36Matsumoto Yamaga xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kitakyushu 1.2 – 1.4 Matsumoto Yamaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Matsumoto Yamaga to win✗
42%
2.41
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.75
Draw no bet
Matsumoto Yamaga (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Kitakyushu +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Matsumoto Yamaga to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.72
–
Recent results
Kitakyushu – last 6
DDDLWD
22 Aug
@ Tochigi SC
2–2
D
19 Aug
vs Okinawa SV
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Kamatamare Sanuki
0–0
D
18 Jul
@ Yokohama FC
2–3
L
11 Jul
@ Avispa Fukuoka
2–1
W
7 Jun
@ Tochigi SC
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6
DLDWLD
22 Aug
vs Ehime FC
2–2
D
16 Aug
vs Biwako Shiga
2–3
L
8 Aug
@ Kochi United
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Ventforet Kofu
3–0
W
6 Jun
vs Nara Club
0–2
L
31 May
@ Montedio Yamagata
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kitakyushu and Matsumoto Yamaga.
What is the prediction for Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
On our numbers Kitakyushu have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Matsumoto Yamaga 42%.
How many goals will there be in Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our predicted score is Kitakyushu 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga (J3 League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
