Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultParceiro Nagano to win ✗40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.68
Parceiro Nagano vs Thespakusatsu Gunma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Parceiro Nagano welcome Thespakusatsu Gunma to Nagano U Stadium for a J3 League fixture on Sunday 30 August (10:00 WAT). In the table, Parceiro Nagano are 10th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Thespakusatsu Gunma are 19th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Current form
Parceiro Nagano, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to FC Tokyo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Thespakusatsu Gunma, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Tokyo Verdy, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Parceiro Nagano, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Thespakusatsu Gunma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Parceiro Nagano 1.6 xG, Thespakusatsu Gunma 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Parceiro Nagano 40%, draw 23%, Thespakusatsu Gunma 37%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Parceiro Nagano 1–1 Thespakusatsu Gunma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Parceiro Nagano40%fair 2.49 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.00
Thespakusatsu Gunma37%fair 2.72 · @2.50
3.17Expected goals
1.62Parceiro Nagano xG
1.55Thespakusatsu Gunma xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Parceiro Nagano 1.6 – 1.5 Thespakusatsu Gunma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Parceiro Nagano to win✗
40%
2.49
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Parceiro Nagano (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Thespakusatsu Gunma +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Parceiro Nagano to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Parceiro Nagano / FT Parceiro Nagano✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.68
–
Recent results
Parceiro Nagano – last 6
LWWLWL
26 Aug
@ FC Tokyo
0–6
L
22 Aug
@ Roasso Kumamoto
1–0
W
19 Aug
vs Fukui United
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Osaka
2–4
L
8 Aug
vs Renofa Yamaguchi
1–0
W
12 Jul
vs Iwaki
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Thespakusatsu Gunma – last 6
LLWLLL
26 Aug
@ Tokyo Verdy
1–4
L
22 Aug
vs Biwako Shiga
2–3
L
19 Aug
@ Tohoku Gakuin University
3–1
W
15 Aug
vs Sagamihara
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ Kagoshima United
0–1
L
7 Jun
@ Kanazawa
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parceiro Nagano and Thespakusatsu Gunma.
What is the prediction for Parceiro Nagano vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Parceiro Nagano vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
On our numbers Parceiro Nagano have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Thespakusatsu Gunma 37%.
How many goals will there be in Parceiro Nagano vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parceiro Nagano vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Our predicted score is Parceiro Nagano 1–1 Thespakusatsu Gunma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Parceiro Nagano vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Parceiro Nagano vs Thespakusatsu Gunma (J3 League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Nagano U Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
