Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Osaka to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOsaka to win ✗40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.67
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Osaka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 30 August the J3 League brings Renofa Yamaguchi against Osaka at Ishin Me-Life Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Renofa Yamaguchi are 5th, upper half, on 30 points after 16 matches; Osaka are 6th (upper half) with 29. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Renofa Yamaguchi, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Nara Club, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Osaka, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Shimizu S-pulse, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Osaka, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Renofa Yamaguchi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Renofa Yamaguchi 1.5 xG, Osaka 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Renofa Yamaguchi 37%, draw 23%, Osaka 40%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Osaka to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Renofa Yamaguchi 1–1 Osaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Renofa Yamaguchi37%fair 2.71 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
Osaka40%fair 2.52 · @2.75
3.00Expected goals
1.47Renofa Yamaguchi xG
1.53Osaka xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Renofa Yamaguchi 1.5 – 1.5 Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Osaka to win✗
40%
2.52
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.70
Draw no bet
Osaka (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Renofa Yamaguchi +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Osaka to score first✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Osaka / FT Osaka✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.67
–
Recent results
Renofa Yamaguchi – last 6
LLWLLD
22 Aug
@ Nara Club
1–3
L
19 Aug
@ Kagoshima United
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs FC Ryukyu
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Parceiro Nagano
0–1
L
6 Jun
@ Yokohama FC
1–2
L
30 May
@ Kochi United
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Osaka – last 6
DDWWDL
26 Aug
@ Shimizu S-pulse
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs FC Ryukyu
2–2
D
19 Aug
@ Nara Club
4–1
W
16 Aug
vs Parceiro Nagano
4–2
W
8 Aug
@ Gainare Tottori
1–1
D
19 Jul
@ Avispa Fukuoka
2–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Renofa Yamaguchi and Osaka.
What is the prediction for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Osaka?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Osaka?
On our numbers Renofa Yamaguchi have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Osaka 40%.
How many goals will there be in Renofa Yamaguchi vs Osaka?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Osaka?
Our predicted score is Renofa Yamaguchi 1–1 Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Osaka?
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Osaka (J3 League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
