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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Biwako Shiga v Kagoshima United: numbers & prediction

J3 League · Japan · Heiwado HATO Stadium
1–2
FT
Biwako Shiga 21%Draw 22%Kagoshima United 57% Expected goals 1.16 – 2.04
79%
Betarazi pick

Kagoshima United or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultKagoshima United to win ✓57% · @1.83
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.16

Biwako Shiga vs Kagoshima United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kagoshima United travel to face Biwako Shiga on Sunday 13 September in the J3 League, with Heiwado HATO Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 10:30 WAT. In the table, Biwako Shiga are 16th, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; Kagoshima United are 4th (among the top four) with 31. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Biwako Shiga, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tokyo Verdy, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Kagoshima United, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Ryukyu, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Kagoshima United, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Biwako Shiga.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Biwako Shiga 1–0 Kagoshima United. The last 2 head-to-heads: Biwako Shiga 1 win, Kagoshima United 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Biwako Shiga 1.2 xG, Kagoshima United 2.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Biwako Shiga 21%, draw 22%, Kagoshima United 57%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kagoshima United or draw (79%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kagoshima United or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Biwako Shiga 1–2 Kagoshima United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Biwako Shiga21%fair 4.78 · @3.80
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.10
Kagoshima United57%fair 1.74 · @1.83
3.20Expected goals
1.16Biwako Shiga xG
2.04Kagoshima United xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–110%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: Biwako Shiga 1.2 – 2.0 Kagoshima United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKagoshima United to win ✓57%1.741.83 ▲
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✓79%1.261.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.601.75 ▲
Draw no betKagoshima United (draw no bet) ✓73%1.36–
Asian handicapBiwako Shiga +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
First team to scoreKagoshima United to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultKagoshima United ahead at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kagoshima United / FT Kagoshima United ✓37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.16–

Recent results

Biwako Shiga – last 6

LWLLWW
9 Sepvs Tokyo Verdy0–1L
5 Sep@ Kamatamare Sanuki3–0W
30 Augvs Gainare Tottori0–1L
26 Aug@ Gamba Osaka0–2L
22 Aug@ Thespakusatsu Gunma3–2W
19 Augvs Japan Soccer College2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kagoshima United – last 6

WLWWDW
5 Sepvs FC Ryukyu2–1W
2 Sepvs Consadole Sapporo0–1L
29 Aug@ Kamatamare Sanuki4–3W
26 Aug@ Albirex Niigata4–0W
22 Augvs FC Gifu0–0D
19 Augvs Renofa Yamaguchi2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026Biwako Shiga v Kagoshima United1–0
15 Mar 2026Kagoshima United v Biwako Shiga1–0
Biwako Shiga vs Kagoshima United head-to-head page →

J3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nara Club161024+1232
2FC Gifu161015+1431
3Sagamihara16943+1131
4Kagoshima United16943+1031
5Renofa Yamaguchi16934+930
6Osaka16853+1129
7Ehime FC16925+629
8Roasso Kumamoto16664+624
9Kanazawa16727+723
10Parceiro Nagano16727+123
11FC Ryukyu16727023
12Tochigi SC16565-121
13Kitakyushu16547-319
14Fukushima United16538-218
15Matsumoto Yamaga16457-317
16Biwako Shiga16529-917
17Gainare Tottori16439-1515
18Kamatamare Sanuki164210-1014
19Thespakusatsu Gunma164111-1813
20Kochi United162311-269

More J3 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Biwako Shiga vs Kagoshima United?

Our pick is Kagoshima United or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Biwako Shiga vs Kagoshima United?

On our numbers Biwako Shiga have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kagoshima United 57%.

How many goals will there be in Biwako Shiga vs Kagoshima United?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Biwako Shiga vs Kagoshima United?

Our predicted score is Biwako Shiga 1–2 Kagoshima United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Biwako Shiga vs Kagoshima United?

Biwako Shiga vs Kagoshima United (J3 League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Heiwado HATO Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.