FC Ryukyu v Kamatamare Sanuki: numbers & prediction

FC Ryukyu vs Kamatamare Sanuki: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

10:00 WAT, Sunday 13 September: FC Ryukyu v Kamatamare Sanuki in the J3 League, played at Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium. In the table, FC Ryukyu are 11th, lower half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Kamatamare Sanuki are 18th (in the drop zone) with 14.

Current form

FC Ryukyu, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Kitakyushu, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Kamatamare Sanuki, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to JEF United Chiba, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours FC Ryukyu, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Kamatamare Sanuki.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Ryukyu 2.1 xG, Kamatamare Sanuki 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Ryukyu 62%, draw 23%, Kamatamare Sanuki 15%.
• Lower-risk option: FC Ryukyu or draw (85%) at 1.25.
• GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
• Price worth noting: FC Ryukyu to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FC Ryukyu or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Ryukyu 2–0 Kamatamare Sanuki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.