Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.88
Tochigi SC vs Matsumoto Yamaga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
09:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Tochigi SC v Matsumoto Yamaga in the J3 League, played at Kanseki Stadium Tochigi. In the table, Tochigi SC are 12th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Matsumoto Yamaga are 15th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Tochigi SC, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Kagoshima United, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Matsumoto Yamaga, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Roasso Kumamoto, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tochigi SC 1.4 xG, Matsumoto Yamaga 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tochigi SC 46%, draw 23%, Matsumoto Yamaga 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tochigi SC 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tochigi SC46%fair 2.19 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Matsumoto Yamaga31%fair 3.18 · @2.90
2.53Expected goals
1.42Tochigi SC xG
1.12Matsumoto Yamaga xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Tochigi SC 1.4 – 1.1 Matsumoto Yamaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tochigi SC to win✗
46%
2.19
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Tochigi SC (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Matsumoto Yamaga +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Tochigi SC to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tochigi SC / FT Tochigi SC✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.88
–
Recent results
Tochigi SC – last 6
LDLWLL
19 Sep
@ Kagoshima United
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Parceiro Nagano
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Montedio Yamagata
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Kochi United
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ FC Gifu
1–4
L
26 Aug
@ Kawasaki Frontale
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6
DLDDDD
18 Sep
@ Roasso Kumamoto
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Sagamihara
1–3
L
9 Sep
vs Shonan Bellmare
3–3
D
5 Sep
vs Osaka
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Kitakyushu
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Ehime FC
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tochigi SC and Matsumoto Yamaga.
What is the prediction for Tochigi SC vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Tochigi SC vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
On our numbers Tochigi SC have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Matsumoto Yamaga 31%.
How many goals will there be in Tochigi SC vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tochigi SC vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our predicted score is Tochigi SC 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Tochigi SC vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Tochigi SC vs Matsumoto Yamaga (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Kanseki Stadium Tochigi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
