Wednesday 11 November 2026 20 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kagoshima United v Roasso Kumamoto: numbers & prediction

J3 League · Japan · Shiranami Stadium
1–1
FT
Kagoshima United 62%Draw 24%Roasso Kumamoto 13% Expected goals 1.79 – 0.71
87%
Betarazi pick

Kagoshima United or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Kagoshima United to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultKagoshima United to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.71

Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Roasso Kumamoto travel to face Kagoshima United on Saturday 31 October in the J3 League, with Shiranami Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 10:00 WAT. In the table, Kagoshima United are 4th, among the top four, on 31 points after 16 matches; Roasso Kumamoto are 8th (upper half) with 24.

Current form

Kagoshima United, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Osaka, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Roasso Kumamoto, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Gifu, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Kagoshima United 2–1 Roasso Kumamoto. The last 2 head-to-heads: Kagoshima United 2 wins, Roasso Kumamoto 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kagoshima United 1.8 xG, Roasso Kumamoto 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kagoshima United 62%, draw 24%, Roasso Kumamoto 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kagoshima United or draw (87%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Kagoshima United to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kagoshima United or draw (87%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kagoshima United 1–0 Roasso Kumamoto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kagoshima United62%fair 1.61 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Roasso Kumamoto13%fair 7.48 · @3.75
2.50Expected goals
1.79Kagoshima United xG
0.71Roasso Kumamoto xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%

From our goals model: Kagoshima United 1.8 – 0.7 Roasso Kumamoto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKagoshima United to win ✗62%1.611.85 ▲
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✓87%1.151.22 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.861.73
Draw no betKagoshima United (draw no bet)82%1.21–
Asian handicapKagoshima United -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreKagoshima United to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultKagoshima United ahead at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kagoshima United / FT Kagoshima United ✗40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.71–

Recent results

Kagoshima United – last 6

LWWLLW
24 Oct@ Osaka1–2L
21 Octvs Kochi United3–1W
17 Octvs Ehime FC4–2W
11 Oct@ Matsumoto Yamaga0–1L
7 Oct@ Cerezo Osaka0–2L
4 Octvs Fukushima United3–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Roasso Kumamoto – last 6

WWWLDL
25 Octvs FC Gifu2–1W
21 Octvs Gainare Tottori3–0W
18 Oct@ Kamatamare Sanuki3–0W
11 Octvs Ehime FC0–2L
2 Oct@ Biwako Shiga0–0D
29 Sepvs Kawasaki Frontale0–1L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Kagoshima United v Roasso Kumamoto2–1
29 Mar 2026Roasso Kumamoto v Kagoshima United0–1
Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto head-to-head page →

J3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nara Club161024+1232
2FC Gifu161015+1431
3Sagamihara16943+1131
4Kagoshima United16943+1031
5Renofa Yamaguchi16934+930
6Osaka16853+1129
7Ehime FC16925+629
8Roasso Kumamoto16664+624
9Kanazawa16727+723
10Parceiro Nagano16727+123
11FC Ryukyu16727023
12Tochigi SC16565-121
13Kitakyushu16547-319
14Fukushima United16538-218
15Matsumoto Yamaga16457-317
16Biwako Shiga16529-917
17Gainare Tottori16439-1515
18Kamatamare Sanuki164210-1014
19Thespakusatsu Gunma164111-1813
20Kochi United162311-269

More J3 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Our pick is Kagoshima United or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto?

On our numbers Kagoshima United have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Roasso Kumamoto 13%.

How many goals will there be in Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Our predicted score is Kagoshima United 1–0 Roasso Kumamoto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Shiranami Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.