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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Machida Zelvia v Yokohama F. Marinos: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Machida GION Stadium
Machida Zelvia 60%Draw 25%Yokohama F. Marinos 15% Expected goals 2.29 – 1.13
85%
Betarazi pick

Machida Zelvia or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceMachida Zelvia or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32

Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Machida Zelvia welcome Yokohama F. Marinos to Machida GION Stadium for a J1 League fixture on Saturday 12 September (11:00 WAT). In the table, Machida Zelvia are 3rd, among the top four, on 37 points after 18 matches; Yokohama F. Marinos are 7th (lower half) with 20. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Machida Zelvia, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Nagoya Grampus, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Yokohama F. Marinos, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kashiwa Reysol, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Machida Zelvia, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

Head to head

When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended Machida Zelvia 2–0 Yokohama F. Marinos.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Machida Zelvia 2.3 xG, Yokohama F. Marinos 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Machida Zelvia 60%, draw 25%, Yokohama F. Marinos 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Machida Zelvia or draw (85%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Machida Zelvia or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Machida Zelvia 2–1 Yokohama F. Marinos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Machida Zelvia60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.50
Yokohama F. Marinos15%fair 6.80 · @4.00
3.42Expected goals
2.29Machida Zelvia xG
1.13Yokohama F. Marinos xG
63%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–07%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Machida Zelvia 2.3 – 1.1 Yokohama F. Marinos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMachida Zelvia to win ✗60%1.661.80 ▲
Double chanceMachida Zelvia or draw ✓85%1.171.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.75 ▲
Draw no betMachida Zelvia (draw no bet)80%1.24–
Asian handicapMachida Zelvia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.81–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
First team to scoreMachida Zelvia to score first ✗65%1.55–
Half-time resultMachida Zelvia ahead at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia ✗41%2.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.32–

Recent results

Machida Zelvia – last 6

WWDWWW
6 Sep@ Nagoya Grampus3–1W
2 Sepvs Kawasaki Frontale2–1W
29 Aug@ Mito Hollyhock1–1D
26 Augvs Grulla Morioka3–0W
23 Augvs Urawa3–1W
15 Aug@ JEF United Chiba4–0W
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Yokohama F. Marinos – last 6

WDLWWW
6 Sep@ Kashiwa Reysol2–0W
2 Sepvs Kyoto Sanga1–1D
29 Aug@ Urawa2–3L
26 Augvs Fukushima United1–0W
22 Augvs Vissel Kobe1–0W
15 Aug@ Shimizu S-pulse1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 May 2026Machida Zelvia v Yokohama F. Marinos2–0
Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Our pick is Machida Zelvia or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

On our numbers Machida Zelvia have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Yokohama F. Marinos 15%.

How many goals will there be in Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 2–1 Yokohama F. Marinos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Machida GION Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.