Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the J1 League brings Shimizu S-pulse against Avispa Fukuoka at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Kick-off: 10:30 WAT. In the table, Shimizu S-pulse are 7th, lower half, on 24 points after 18 matches; Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (in the drop zone) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Shimizu S-pulse, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Kawasaki Frontale, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Avispa Fukuoka, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mito Hollyhock, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Avispa Fukuoka, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Shimizu S-pulse.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shimizu S-pulse 1.1 xG, Avispa Fukuoka 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shimizu S-pulse 34%, draw 24%, Avispa Fukuoka 41%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shimizu S-pulse34%fair 2.90 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Avispa Fukuoka41%fair 2.41 · @2.45
2.42Expected goals
1.14Shimizu S-pulse xG
1.28Avispa Fukuoka xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 1.1 – 1.3 Avispa Fukuoka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avispa Fukuoka to win✗
41%
2.41
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Draw no bet
Avispa Fukuoka (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Shimizu S-pulse +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Avispa Fukuoka to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avispa Fukuoka / FT Avispa Fukuoka✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.02
–
Recent results
Shimizu S-pulse – last 6
LDLDLL
6 Sep
@ Kawasaki Frontale
1–3
L
2 Sep
vs FC Tokyo
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Kashiwa Reysol
0–1
L
26 Aug
vs Osaka
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Cerezo Osaka
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Avispa Fukuoka – last 6
DLLDLW
5 Sep
vs Mito Hollyhock
1–1
D
2 Sep
vs Urawa
2–3
L
29 Aug
@ Kyoto Sanga
1–2
L
26 Aug
vs Verspah Oita
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Kashima
2–3
L
15 Aug
vs Cerezo Osaka
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimizu S-pulse and Avispa Fukuoka.
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka?
On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Avispa Fukuoka 41%.
How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mito Hollyhock0
Kawasaki Frontale1
FC Tokyo2
Machida Zelvia1
Yokohama F. Marinos1