Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Cerezo Osaka Prediction & Expected Goals (12 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓64% · @1.57

Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓84% · @1.15

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.55

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.19

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League, played at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. In the table, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 18 matches; Cerezo Osaka are 2nd (among the top four) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Fagiano Okayama, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Cerezo Osaka, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tokyo Verdy, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Apr 2026) it ended Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Cerezo Osaka. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2 wins, Cerezo Osaka 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.7 xG, Cerezo Osaka 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 64%, draw 21%, Cerezo Osaka 16%.
Lower-risk option: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Cerezo Osaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sanfrecce Hiroshima64%fair 1.57 · @1.57

Draw21%fair 4.83 · @4.00

Cerezo Osaka16%fair 6.37 · @4.80

2.33Expected goals

1.68Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

0.65Cerezo Osaka xG

54%Both score

41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%

2–014%

1–111%

0–010%

2–19%

3–08%

From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.7 – 0.7 Cerezo Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓	64%	1.57	1.57
Double chance	Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓	84%	1.19	1.15
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	54%	1.87	1.55
Draw no bet	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet) ✓	80%	1.25	–
Asian handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	68%	1.48	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	59%	1.70	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	79%	1.26	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	91%	1.10	–
First team to score	Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score first ✓	65%	1.54	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.28	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✓	38%	2.60	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.19	–

Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6

LWDWDW

6 Sep	@ Fagiano Okayama	2–3	L
2 Sep	vs Nagoya Grampus	3–0	W
29 Aug	@ Gamba Osaka	0–0	D
26 Aug	vs Okinawa SV	4–1	W
22 Aug	vs Kawasaki Frontale	1–1	D
15 Aug	@ Urawa	4–1	W

2.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Cerezo Osaka – last 6

DWLWWL

6 Sep	vs Tokyo Verdy	0–0	D
2 Sep	vs Kashiwa Reysol	2–0	W
29 Aug	@ Vissel Kobe	0–1	L
26 Aug	vs FC Gifu	3–1	W
22 Aug	vs Shimizu S-pulse	1–0	W
15 Aug	@ Avispa Fukuoka	0–3	L

1.0Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	11	7	+4	35
2	Cerezo Osaka	18	11	7	+9	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	10	8	+2	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	10	8	+8	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	10	8	+6	28
6	Fagiano Okayama	18	8	10	-3	26
7	Shimizu S-pulse	18	8	10	-2	24
8	Kyoto Sanga	18	8	10	-6	23
9	V-varen Nagasaki	18	7	11	-8	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	7	11	-10	21

Team

Pts

-3

-2

-6

-8

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?

Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?

On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cerezo Osaka 16%.

How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?

Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Cerezo Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Cerezo Osaka: numbers & prediction