Mito Hollyhock v Shimizu S-pulse Prediction & Expected Goals (11 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultShimizu S-pulse to win ✓39% · @2.62

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 13.15

Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mito Hollyhock welcome Shimizu S-pulse to K's Denki Stadium Mito for a J1 League fixture on Sunday 11 October (07:00 WAT). In the table, Mito Hollyhock are 9th, in the drop zone, on 18 points after 18 matches; Shimizu S-pulse are 7th (lower half) with 24.

Current form

Mito Hollyhock, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 7–0 win over Fukushima United, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Shimizu S-pulse, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with V-varen Nagasaki, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Shimizu S-pulse, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Mito Hollyhock.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mito Hollyhock 1.1 xG, Shimizu S-pulse 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Mito Hollyhock 37%, draw 24%, Shimizu S-pulse 39%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mito Hollyhock 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mito Hollyhock37%fair 2.69 · @2.60

Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00

Shimizu S-pulse39%fair 2.58 · @2.62

2.25Expected goals

1.11Mito Hollyhock xG

1.14Shimizu S-pulse xG

57%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–112%

1–012%

0–011%

1–28%

2–17%

From our goals model: Mito Hollyhock 1.1 – 1.1 Shimizu S-pulse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Shimizu S-pulse to win ✓	39%	2.58	2.62
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.35
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	57%	1.74	1.75
Draw no bet	Shimizu S-pulse (draw no bet) ✓	51%	1.96	–
Asian handicap	Mito Hollyhock +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	92%	1.08	–
First team to score	Shimizu S-pulse to score first	45%	2.21	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	47%	2.14	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Shimizu S-pulse / FT Shimizu S-pulse ✗	21%	4.87	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✓	8%	13.15	–

Mito Hollyhock – last 6

WLLDDW

29 Sep	@ Fukushima United	7–0	W
19 Sep	@ Yokohama F. Marinos	0–2	L
12 Sep	vs Kawasaki Frontale	0–1	L
9 Sep	@ Parceiro Nagano	0–0	D
5 Sep	@ Avispa Fukuoka	1–1	D
2 Sep	vs Kashima	4–2	W

2.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Shimizu S-pulse – last 6

DWWWLD

7 Oct	vs V-varen Nagasaki	1–1	D
29 Sep	@ Kanazawa	2–0	W
19 Sep	vs JEF United Chiba	2–1	W
12 Sep	vs Avispa Fukuoka	1–0	W
6 Sep	@ Kawasaki Frontale	1–3	L
2 Sep	vs FC Tokyo	1–1	D

1.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kashima	18	15	3	+20	45
2	FC Tokyo	18	13	5	+14	37
3	Machida Zelvia	18	13	5	+6	37
4	Kawasaki Frontale	18	10	8	-2	28
5	Tokyo Verdy	18	10	8	-4	28
6	Urawa	18	7	11	+3	25
7	Yokohama F. Marinos	18	6	12	-3	20
8	Kashiwa Reysol	18	7	11	-2	20
9	Mito Hollyhock	18	6	12	-16	18
10	JEF United Chiba	18	3	15	-16	12

Team

Pts

+20

+14

-2

-4

-3

-2

-16

-16

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse?

On our numbers Mito Hollyhock have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shimizu S-pulse 39%.

How many goals will there be in Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Our predicted score is Mito Hollyhock 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at K's Denki Stadium Mito.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Mito Hollyhock v Shimizu S-pulse: numbers & prediction